Politics Make That Twelve
posted by September 29 at 14:13 PMon
With Republican Congressman Mark Foley of Florida resigning today over allegations that he sent inappropriate emails to a young House paige, the Democrats’ chances of taking back Congress just got a lot better.
Conventional wisdom used to be that Democrats had to pick up 15 seats around the country to win back the majority in the House of Representatives. But now, by MyDD’s count, the Democrats are assured three pickups (including Foley’s seat, as of today) and only need to worry about finding 12 more.
Democratic Gains of 18-24 [seats]
Democratic Majority of 221-227
Odds of Democratic Control: 90%
(Note that MyDD now sees WA-08 leaning Democratic.)
UPDATE: Some caution from DailyKos. Looks like Foley’s name will remain on the ballot in his district, and any votes for him will go to the Republicans’ replacement candidate.
FURTHER UPDATE: I have been chastised by a colleague for not noting this irony: Foley was chair of the House Missing and Exploited Children’s Caucus.