2008 Can It Just Be Tuesday, Already?
posted by October 29 at 10:44 AMon
The Corner shares an internal McCain memo that says things are looking up for the Republicans:
The race has moved significantly over the past week, closing to essentially tied on the last two-day roll. These gains are coming from sub-groups it should be possible to sustain over the next week, including:
-Rural voters, both men and women;
-Right-to-life voters; and most encouragingly;
-We are beginning to once again get over a 20% chunk of the vote among soft Democrats.
Importantly as well, our long identified target of “Walmart women” – those women without a college degree in households under $60,000 a year in income are also swinging back solidly in our direction.
Now I’m not scared by an internal campaign memo quoted on a right-wing blog. But I swear to God, if the next election hinges on “Wal-Mart Women”, I’m going to completely fucking lose my shit. All I’m saying is, it wouldn’t hurt for everyone reading this to volunteer some time and send some money to Obama as the campaign winds down.
And I know people keep pointing to FiveThirtyEight.com as the good news, but I’ve been troubled, lately, by how pro-Obama the site’s been. Silver seems to be a great statistician, but it feels as though he wades into the figures looking for good news. If he was a scientist going into things looking for a certain result, he’d be doing bad science, right? Does the same thing apply for electoral projections?