It’s Tuesday.

The Washington Post:

Obama drew about 17,000 supporters at a rally in Hartford, Conn., yesterday, building on excitement and sense of momentum that has surrounded his campaign since an overwhelming victory in the South Carolina primary late last month. He campaigned with Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.) as polls showed an increasingly close race even in states, such as California, that were supposed to be solid Clinton territory. Obama and Kennedy closed out the day with a huge rally in Boston, but after several surprising turns in the race over the past month, almost no one in either camp voiced confidence about the outcome of the coast-to-coast Democratic primaries and caucuses today.

Mark Penn, the chief strategist for Clinton, and senior adviser Howard Wolfson held a conference call late yesterday to emphasize the importance of contests being held much later — in particular, Texas and Ohio on March 4 and Pennsylvania on April 22.

“We believe there’s a lot of debate to be had,” Penn said, suggesting that voters had not had enough time to fully study their choices.

The Democratic nomination will be “possibly decided in March, possibly decided in April, possibly not decided until the convention,” Wolfson said, expressing the extent of the turnabout the campaign has made from its initial belief that Clinton would secure the nod on Super Tuesday. Clinton and Obama both spent the final day of campaigning in the Northeast, a region that was expected to produce a strong showing for her but appeared in recent days to present openings for Obama.

The New York Times:

Democrats allocate most of their delegates proportionately; candidates are awarded a cut of the delegate pie based on their percentage of the vote. It is possible to lose a state and still get a majority of the delegates, and it is likely that the losing candidate will still get a substantial share of the delegates.

Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton will no doubt start claiming state victories as soon they can — with the goal of trying to get on television and grab the front-runner spotlight — but those results will probably remain largely symbolic. Assuming the race remains close, what matters going forward is who gets the most pledged delegates.

MSNBC:

What will have a greater impact on viewers Tuesday night? The dead even delegate fight between Clinton and Obama?

Or the potential for one Dem to win a plurality of states by 52-48 while still splitting the delegates evenly?

What if Obama wins California narrowly plus a bunch of other swing states but trails in the delegate count by, say, 50? Will the media treat Obama as the winner of Super Tuesday because of an upset California win?

Or what if Clinton wins a majority of states, including California, Missouri and Arizona but the delegate count is basically even (another likely outcome)? Will Clinton be treated as the winner?

At this point, it seems like a no-brainer that the delegate split Tuesday night will be in the range of 870-810, or somewhere in between. The question is, who will come out on top? Of course, if the delegate split is greater than 100, the candidate on the winning side is going to feel like they won in a landslide. But neither Democratic campaign expects the delegate split to be greater than 100.

That’s not counting the Super Delegates, however.

Gallup Poll:

Zogby: Obama up by 13 in California

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