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Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Someone’s Going to Write a Paper on the Li’l Bradley Effect in 5…4…3…2…

posted by on October 29 at 12:00 PM


Here is good news: the Weekly Reader election for under-18 students has just finished. 125,000 kids of all ages participated, and the results have been announced: Obama 54.7%, John McCain 42.9%. “Who gives a flying fuck?” I can hear you say, and I say in response, “Hold your goddamned horses, already! I was just getting to that.”

The Weekly Reader election has correctly guessed the outcome of the real election for the past 12 out of 13 elections, missing only the 1992 Bush/Clinton/Perot election (the kids chose Bush). That’s 52 years. Some people think the accuracy is due to the fact that most parents talk openly at home about who they’re going to vote for, making this one of the most accurate polls of the electoral year.

This article breaks down the results state by state, including the mini-electoral college, and it’s interesting stuff. I highly recommend checking it out.

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I think you were just looking for an excuse to post that awesome picture of Optimus Prime.

Posted by kid icarus | October 29, 2008 12:09 PM

I voted for Carter on the Weekly Reader election; the only kid in my third grade class to do so. All the other fucking mini-facists voted for Reagan. Both my parents voted for Reagan as well.

Posted by Cato the Younger Younger | October 29, 2008 12:09 PM

Wow, after Sumo-College, that dude must have gotten several Master Degrees, MIT Robotics probablys. Weird that the speech he gave consisted solely of one phrase, "pull my finger."

Posted by gry miklsk | October 29, 2008 12:12 PM

I voted for Bush in my Weekly Reader election; he just looked more kindly and grandfatherly in his photo than Dukakis.

I wonder how many adults continue to base voting decisions on such criteria.

Posted by hillside_hoyden | October 29, 2008 12:21 PM

@1: Totally.

Posted by Gloria | October 29, 2008 12:22 PM

In kindergarten I voted for Jessee Jackson. When Regan won, our class received a bound thank you letter from him but the auto-pen had signed his name backwards. I remember thinking it was good a retard could be elected president. Boy was I wrong!

Posted by john | October 29, 2008 12:25 PM

According to the write-up, the only grade to elect McCain was 10th grade. Fucking sophomores.

Posted by Ziggity | October 29, 2008 12:30 PM

You forgot the best part: John McCain, in a speech thanking the 53,625 children who voted for him, is quoted as saying, "GET OFF MY LAWN, YOU MISERABLE FUCKS!"

Posted by NapoleonXIV | October 29, 2008 12:44 PM

Our 4th grade class accurately predicted the Nixon landslide in '72.

Posted by Joe M | October 29, 2008 12:45 PM

My son was a bit sad yesterday when I told him that he won't be able to vote for another 10 years.

Posted by Mike in Renton | October 29, 2008 12:50 PM

@4: we must have canceled each other out, becaue I voted for Dukakis in that Weekly Reader election. I think it was because he was younger.

Posted by Jessica | October 29, 2008 1:04 PM

Seriously, this many of you remember who you voted for in the Weekly Reader election in elementary school? Wow. Clearly you all need to smoke more pot.

Posted by honeyspider | October 29, 2008 1:15 PM

I don't even remember what I ate for lunch yesterday (too much pot) but I remember my Weekly Reader election. I voted for Perot because he was weird and I was weird. Everyone else in my class voted for Bush except a couple other girls who thought Bill Clinton was dreeeeamy.

Posted by jrrrl | October 29, 2008 1:31 PM

Hmm, intriguing logic...

Perhaps more so if you take into account that, if kids are assumed to vote with their parents, then this would actually be a biased vote toward those with more kids...

Normally, I'd think that would mean biased toward McCain... but perhaps the newly registered Obama-folks and the old, crotchety McCain folks would cancel each other out in the childlessness department.

Posted by KBF | October 29, 2008 1:33 PM

I remember voting for Carter in 1980 (4th grade), and I was in the minority in my class. And yes, I voted for him because that's who my mom was voting for. My dad voted for John Anderson, the independent, and actually worked on his campaign. He couldn't bring himself to vote for Carter, and he hated and despised Ronald Regan.

Posted by Sheryl | October 29, 2008 1:35 PM

I voted for Nixon in 1972. Fifth grade, I think. I thought his name sounded cooler than McGovern. This is the logic of a fifth grader.

My parents were appalled.

Posted by Reverse Polarity | October 29, 2008 1:46 PM

I'm not sure if this will be as accurate for this race.. I think kids are making more of their own decisions now because they have more access to information, youtube, etc. and someone like obama is going to appeal to younger people

Posted by lilj | October 29, 2008 1:53 PM

I understand Palin is giving a speech right now claiming ACORN rigged the election by registering tens of thousands of grade-schoolers who should have been ineligible to vote because they had a visit to the principal's office on their permanent records...

Posted by COMTE | October 29, 2008 2:05 PM

Kids are dicks.

Posted by Sarah Silverman | October 29, 2008 2:36 PM

WTF happened in Minnesota??? McFailin by 8 points!? Was it the Marge Gunderman accent?

Posted by emma's bee | October 29, 2008 6:13 PM

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