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Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Lake County is Not Enough; Clinton Wins Indiana

posted by on May 6 at 22:09 PM

CNN now has 99 percent of the results from the much-delayed count in Lake County (home of Gary et al). Obama won the county, but not, it seems, by a high enough margin to take the state of Indiana.

The network calls the race in Indiana for Clinton, 51 to 49.

(And I don’t think I ever posted the final North Carolina spread. Obama won that state by 14 points, 56 to 42.)

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If Obama loses 51-49, that's a moral victory, something that can happen in politics if not in sports. Clinton was supposed to walk away with Indiana, and this close a result means Obama wins for all practical (ie, delegates for the nomination), in terms of popular vote, delegates pledged, and the media narrative that the super-delegates are attending to.

Posted by bill | May 6, 2008 10:15 PM

Even with Rush Limbaugh's help, Clinton barely wins by a two point margin. Color me unimpressed.

Posted by montex | May 6, 2008 10:17 PM

I forgot about Limbaugh... Andrew Sullivan was talking about how he might've made a 7-point (!) difference.

Posted by Steve | May 6, 2008 10:23 PM

It's actually less than 2%, more like 1.75%.

Posted by stinkbug | May 6, 2008 10:26 PM

Her net delegate take is about two. She loses considerable ground on the night. Obama's close to going over the line if you count the superdelegates (which are his).

Posted by Fnarf | May 6, 2008 10:26 PM

How do they call such a close race when Marion and Hamilton still have 2% and 1% unreported? These are big Obama counties.

Posted by Rob | May 6, 2008 10:33 PM

Rob@6: 1 percent of 180,000 (the total of Marion) is still much smaller than the difference separating them. That's how they can call the race now.

Posted by josh | May 6, 2008 10:48 PM

@ steve: could you believe that!!! 7% of clinton voters would not vote for her in november??? that's really remarkable. it really makes me rethink my views on open primaries. though i suppose people would just change their party from R to D, or D to R, for the primary...

Posted by konstantconsumer | May 6, 2008 10:52 PM

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