
Holy shit! Look what the sweaty folds of the internet coughed up today—conservatives in Colonial wigs and tracksuits rapping about America:
Bravo, internet. I am speechless.
What was discovered when Payscale examined the CEO-to-worker pay ratios in Fortune 50 corporations? UnitedHealth Group looks like Nigeria: 1737 to 1; and Microsoft looks like Sweden: 13 to 1.
WSJ:
Government officials have finalized an agreement worth as much as $26 billion with five major banks, capping a yearlong push to settle federal and state probes of alleged foreclosure abuses by lenders.The government got nearly $250 billion out of the tobacco industry. This settlement with the banking industry, a settlement which David Axelrod calls a "win for millions of American homeowners," a settlement with people whose greed crashed a $14 trillion economy, is (you guessed it) a joke.The deal represents the largest government-industry settlement since a multistate deal with the tobacco industry in 1998.
Naked Capitalism lists twelve reasons why this deal sucks. Here are four of them:
1. We’ve now set a price for forgeries and fabricating documents. It’s $2000 per loan. This is a rounding error compared to the chain of title problem these systematic practices were designed to circumvent. The cost is also trivial in comparison to the average loan, which is roughly $180k, so the settlement represents about 1% of loan balances. It is less than the price of the title insurance that banks failed to get when they transferred the loans to the trust. It is a fraction of the cost of the legal expenses when foreclosures are challenged. It’s a great deal for the banks because no one is at any of the servicers going to jail for forgery and the banks have set the upper bound of the cost of riding roughshod over 300 years of real estate law.2. That $26 billion is actually $5 billion of bank money and the rest is your money. The mortgage principal writedowns are guaranteed to come almost entirely from securitized loans, which means from investors, which in turn means taxpayers via Fannie and Freddie, pension funds, insurers, and 401 (k)s. Refis of performing loans also reduce income to those very same investors.
3. That $5 billion divided among the big banks wouldn’t even represent a significant quarterly hit. Freddie and Fannie putbacks to the major banks have been running at that level each quarter.
4. That $20 billion actually makes bank second liens sounder, so this deal is a stealth bailout that strengthens bank balance sheets at the expense of the broader public.
It wasn't long after Democratic gubernatorial hopeful Representative Jay Inslee released his jobs plan yesterday, that the Republicans predictably fired back with a statement dissing government's previous efforts to promote clean technology jobs. But it was a critique that Inslee had already parried at his press event.
"We understand one important fact about innovation: It's tough," Inslee explained in response to a question from the Seattle PI's Joel Connelly. "We are creating whole new industries," Inslee continued, "and when we do this, of course there are failures." Inslee made a cogent argument for investing in core new industries as a whole, even though some individual ventures are bound to fail, before going on to challenge "those who don't understand the growth potential" of these industries, to "walk around and talk to the brilliant Washingtonians who are creating whole knew industries today."
Watch the clip. It's pretty positive and upbeat. Inslee has been criticized by some campaign observers for lackluster stump speeches, but as he demonstrated during the Q&A portion of the program, he's often at his best when he's speaking off the cuff.

Using a South Seattle factory floor as a backdrop, Democratic gubernatorial hopeful Jay Inslee introduced his jobs plan today, that focuses on government reforms, lowering health costs, improving education, and investing in critical industrial sectors like aerospace, life sciences, information technology, agriculture, and clean technology. And while the speech itself may have been a little thin on details, the 30-page white paper the campaign just posted online—"Building a New Economy for Washington"—will take a bit of time to digest.
Filled with all sorts of wonky deliciousness from investing in PTACs (whatever that is), to allowing "pre-revenue research-based companies" to accrue and sell R&D tax credits (again, don't ask me for an explanation), Inslee's plan includes a laundry list of ideas, goals, and specific proposals. It also represents a contrast in both style and substance from his Republican opponent, attorney general Rob McKenna.
Don't get me wrong, I'm as happy as Charles to rub each new positive jobs report in the nose of Mitt Romney and his fellow Republicans, whose sole electoral strategy seems to be to cross their fingers that the economy will stagnate or worsen, and then hope that voters forget whose policies got us into this mess in the first place. But when it comes to employment, I follow some awfully bearish economists who have tended to discount the upward trend we've seen in recent reports.
Well, not this month. Dean Baker at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, who has been about as gloom-and-doomy on jobs as they come, actually seems to crack a smile for the first time in forever:
The revisions actually improved the picture more than may be apparent, since a quirky 42,200 rise in courier jobs for December was completely eliminated in the revision. Instead, the revised data show a 63,000 increase in jobs in professional and technical services for December, instead of the 12,000 previously reported. This was largely due to more jobs in employment services, which reportedly rose by 21,800 in December and by 33,200 last month. This is the sort of healthy job growth in this sector that often precedes more permanent hires.
[...] The January report is undoubtedly one of the best reports that we have seen since the recession began.
Of course, the larger picture still sucks. This was not only the steepest post World War II recession in terms of job loss, as this chart dramatically shows, it's also been by far the slowest in terms of job recovery. But with jobs up strongly in key areas like manufacturing, and unemployment down sharply for blacks and hispanics (though still almost double the rate for whites), the latest data has at last convinced Baker and some other bearish economists that we may finally be on a "somewhat stronger job growth path."
And that, as Charles astutely gloats, would be bad news for Romney.
WSJ:
WASHINGTON—The U.S. labor market grew in January at its most robust pace since last spring, a sign that the economy's momentum carried into the new year.How happy I am that Romney will stew today.Nonfarm payrolls rose by 243,000 last month, the Labor Department said Friday, marking the biggest gain since April. The jobless rate fell by two-tenths of a point to 8.3%, the lowest it has been since February 2009.
How capital judges a global city...
Shanghai has the cheapest Big Macs, Oslo the most expensive. iPhones are cheapest in San Francisco and cost the most in São Paolo, while iPads are cheapest in Bangkok and most expensive in Buenos Aires.Not money, the universal equivalent, but the cost of the commodity (the universal proper). You know Oslo not by its money but by the cost its Big Macs.
Ratings agencies Fitch and Moody's both recently downgraded Washington state's credit outlook from "stable" to "negative," not due to out-of-control spending, but rather, a steep revenue falloff, and a lack of flexibility to fix it. In fact, rather than demanding more budget cuts, Moody's specifically lists "implementation of large budget reductions over the past several years" amongst Washington's "credit challenges."
The outlook revision to negative from stable reflects the magnitude of the revenue falloff that continues to challenge the state as it struggles to recover from the recession; ... Frequent voter initiative activity adds budget challenges although the state legislature has a history of responding effectively to maintain budget balance. As a state with heavy dependence on sales tax receipts and no personal income tax, Washington's revenues have been hit hard by the negative impact of the recession on consumer confidence.
I know Republicans and their surrogates on the editorial boards insist that this is merely a spending problem, but it's not. It just isn't. Our budget problems are due to a structural revenue deficit, pure and simple. And if we don't do something to fix it, it could soon start costing us hundreds of millions of dollars a year in higher interest rates.
It is easy to argue, post real estate bubble, and all the stupidity and excesses revealed in its aftermath, that lending standards should be tighter. But... well...
[P]ublic documents show that in 2010 and 2011, Freddie Mac set out to make gains for its own investment portfolio by using complex mortgage securities that brought in more money for Freddie Mac when homeowners in higher interest-rate loans were unable to qualify for a refinancing.
Those trades "put them squarely against the homeowner," PIMCO's Simon says.
Freddie Mac's trades came at a time when mortgage rates were falling to record lows. Millions of homeowners wish they could refinance, but their lenders tell them they can't qualify for today's low rates because of tight rules. Freddie Mac is one of the gatekeepers with the power to set those rules, and lately, it has been saying no more often to homeowners.
So there you have it. Freddie Mac, whose partial mission is to "expand opportunities for homeownership," is making money by betting against high-interest rate homeowners being able to refinance at lower rates, at the same time it is making it more difficult for these homeowners to do so.
And you wonder why so many middle class Americans believe the system is stacked against them?
There's no doubt that Apple is doing far better than the U.S. economy as a whole. But that doesn't mean Steve Jobs had a better jobs record than Barack Obama.Daniels' math doesn't add up? Is that all you can say? Why can't you say what he actually did? Why can't you simply tell the truth: Daniels lied to the public. And it was a fucking huge lie. One so far away from the truth, that it could not even be an error but only something that was entirely fabricated to deceive people. A lie. As for the those jobs Jobs made: You can find them here.Last night in the Republican's response to the president's State of the Union address, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels proclaimed that Apple has created more jobs than President Obama's job creation program did.
"The late Steve Jobs — what a fitting name he had — created more of them than all those stimulus dollars the President borrowed and blew," Daniels said.
The only problem with that nice play on the Apple founder's name is that Daniels' math just doesn't add up, no matter how successful and valuable Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) has become.
Not even close.
CNN:
Oh, how things have changed. Americans are now within mere percentage points of being a majority single nation: Only 51% of adults today are married, according to census data. And 28% of all households now consist of just one person — the highest level in U.S. history. That second statistic may appear less dramatic than the first, but it's actually changing much faster: The percentage of Americans living by themselves has doubled since 1960.The interesting and telling piece of information in all of this concerns Portland. In that city, only 34% of the households have a single occupant—in Seattle it's 42%.
The extraordinary rise of living alone is among the greatest social changes since the baby boom. Until recently, no culture in human history had sustained large numbers of people in places of their own. Today more than 40% of households have just one occupant in cities such as Atlanta, Washington, D.C., Denver, St. Louis, and Seattle. In Manhattan, nearly 50% of households consist of a single occupant, a number that seems impossibly high until you discover that the rate is similar in London and Paris, and even higher — a staggering 60% — in Stockholm.
One further thought on unearned income, and the economic consequences of taxing it at a lower rate. After decades of fast growing income inequality, our nation's top one percent of households now rake in 24 percent of all income, a rate decried by critics as obscene and unsustainable. Yet that disparity is nothing compared to unearned income, where the wealthiest one percent enjoy over 75 percent of all income from capital gains.
As can be seen from the above chart, this preferred rate on capital gains is one that almost exclusively benefits the wealthiest Americans. But whether you think this is fair or productive or not is beside the point. This policy of cutting tax rates on the income of our wealthiest Americans, at the same time income inequality exponentially grows, means that an ever larger portion of our economy is being taxed at an ever lower rate, significantly contributing to federal budget deficits. And with larger deficits come larger spending cuts, disproportionately impacting, you guessed it, those lower and middle income families whose incomes have remained flat for decades, even as the wealthy prospered.
This is redistribution of wealth, plain and simple. Though not in the direction most folks generally infer from the phrase.
All the more reason to levy a capital gains tax here in Washington state, to help fend off further cuts to education, healthcare, and other essential services.
Local money machine Microsoft posted record revenues of $20.89 billion for its quarter ending December 31, 2011, but profits were down ever-so-slightly, to $6.62 billion from $6.63 billion in the year-ago quarter. Sales of Microsoft's flagship Windows operating system fell 6 percent, to $4.74 billion, largely due to a "soft PC market."
Still, Microsoft remains enormously profitable, and the quarterly results slightly beat analysts' expectations. So no "Kodak moment" quite yet for the local software giant.
It was back in 1975, when it commanded 85 percent of US camera sales, and 90 percent of the film market, that Eastman Kodak invented the digital camera. Today, Kodak filed for bankruptcy protection.
Oops.
Mr Gingrich rejoined: "First of all, Juan, more people have been put on food stamps by Barack Obama than any president in history." This incredibly misleading claim sent the crowd into an ecstasy of delight. "I know among the politically correct you're not supposed to use facts that are uncomfortable", Mr Gingrich added to the warm applause of those in attendance brave enough to face the truth.It really is as simple as that: A record number of people qualified for the existing food stamp program. Obama did nothing. The economy did everything. Indeed, I wish Obama did try to do something about it. Also, giving food stamps to poor people is probably doing more for the economy than giving tax breaks to the rich. Lastly, South Carolina? Really? The poor white people of South Carolina? You know what I mean. Watching that debate was like watching The Fall of the Planet of the Apes.Of course, Barack Obama has put no one on food stamps. Population growth together with the most severe recession since the advent of the modern American welfare state, which was in full swing when Mr Obama came into office, conspired to make a record number eligible for government food assistance.
The Economist sometimes says the right thing...
A thought experiment: On Twin Earth, does anyone call President John McCain the "food-stamp president"? Is it "politically incorrect" there to call him that? Or is it just so tactically weird to pin that label on a white Republican who inherited a huge recession that the idea simply never occurred to anyone? If, back in our world, it's not "politically correct" and not tactically weird to pin that label on a black Democrat who inherited a huge recession, then why not?
Charter school proponents like to revel in their self-proclaimed boldness at rejecting public education orthodoxy: "It is hard to be here bucking against the system the way it’s always been done," Representative Eric Petigrew proudly bemoaned at a press conference announcing his charter school legislation, echoing countless other pro-charter school "progressives" before him.
Yet inherent in the very notion of charter schools is another orthodoxy, one so deeply entrenched in American culture that few elected officials seem capable of even mustering the imagination, let alone the will, to challenge it. The fundamental and driving principle behind charter schools is that by giving students and parents a choice, competition will force improvements in public education as a whole. As such, the charter school movement is as pure an expression of America's blind faith in the magic of markets, as anything you'll find in field of the economics. The unchallenged assumption behind charter schools is that competition is good.
But consider the contrary—and given that public schools have had stiff competition from their private and parochial counterparts since the inception of public education in the 19th century, there is plenty of evidence to consider.
Imagine for a moment that we outlawed private education, and mandated that all children between the ages of 5 and 18 attend their neighborhood public school until they graduate or age out. Instantly, average test scores would rise. That's just math.
[Via Katie Halper]
Representative Laurie Jinkins (D-Tacoma) introduced HB 2563 today, which would impose a 5 percent excise tax on capital gains over $10,000 a year ($5,000 for an individual), a bill that borrows generously from proposals made by the Washington State Budget and Policy Center. The proposed bill would not tax profits from the sale of a primary residence or farmland, or affect retirement savings or inheritances. 97 percent of Washingtonians would see no tax increase at all. In fact, the richest one percent currently enjoy more than three-quarters of all capital gains (mostly the profit on the sale of stocks, bonds, and real estate).

One of the downsides to a capital gains tax is that it is extremely volatile, rising and falling with the economic cycle; it is estimated that over past ten years, this tax would have raised between $215 million and $650 million a year, averaging about $480 million a year. On the positive side, it would take an important step toward flattening our sales-tax-heavy most-regressive-in-the-nation tax structure, while generating desperately needed new revenue.
[Again, via Atrios]
What's your economic worry?
Gallup shows that there’s a direct correlation between household income and concern about the deficit. A recent survey found that the national debt/deficit was the most frequently listed “economic worry” of those earning $75,000 or more, at 21 percent. By contrast, only 8 percent of Americans earning $30,000 or less listed the national debt as their biggest economic concern.
WaPo:
Though the recession has thinned the ranks of other generations in the workforce, more people older than 55 are employed than ever before, according to the latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.The reasons for the surge of older workers are complex, experts said, but one of the primary economic forces behind it is the growing fear among older Americans that they lack the means to support their retirement needs.
The phenomenon is closely linked to the broad shift in the United States that began in the ’80s away from reliance on company pensions toward the adoption of 401(k) plans and other personal savings.
Then there's this: A recession for whites; a depression is for the rest:
As the economy slowly improved last year, the unemployment rate fell for both whites and Latinos.
But at the end of the year the black unemployment rate was 15.8%, exactly where it started out 2011, according to the government's December jobs report released Friday. That's a sharp contrast to the white unemployment rate, which fell to 7.5% last month
Nothing that shows comprehension of the coming collapse, according to transcripts obtained by the New York Times:
Instead they continued to tell one another throughout 2006 that the greatest danger was inflation—the possibility that the economy would grow too fast.
“We think the fundamentals of the expansion going forward still look good,” Timothy F. Geithner, then president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, told his colleagues when they gathered in Washington in December 2006.
As we now know, as the transcripts prove, and as the Times states: "Some of the nation’s pre-eminent economic minds did not fully understand the basic mechanics of the economy that they were charged with shepherding."
"Don't take this personally, it's just business."
Reuters reports that, according to one anti-crime group, the Mafia is now Italy’s largest “bank,” lending out some $179 billion each year, more than any other financial institution in the country...The Reuters story says organized crime accounts for about 7 percent of Italy’s GDP. An earlier story from 2008 reported that the ’Ndrangheta, the country’s largest crime group, makes up a stunning 3 percent of the GDP all by itself.
WSJ:
In a letter dated Jan. 9 to the Juice Products Association, an industry group, the FDA said a juice company reported "low levels" of carbendazim, a fungicide, in its and its competitors productsKnowledge is power.The FDA said the fungicide was used on the 2011 orange crop in Brazil, the world's largest grower of oranges and the biggest producer of orange juice.
Florida oranges produce about three-quarters of U.S. orange-juice concentrate supplies, and imports cover the rest. About 75% of those imports come from Brazil.
Are you sick of words, words, words always junking up your computer screen? Do you consider yourself more of a "pie person" than a "numbers person"? Are you ready for a simple, easy-to-digest breakdown of the Washington State budget crisis?
If you answered yes to any of the above questions, then I have a deal for you!
The Economic Opportunity Institute, a local nonprofit think tank, has released a helpful, four-page breakdown (Shamwow!pdf) of Washington's 2011-13 General Fund budget, featuring graphic depictions of what services our tax revenues fund (and which have taken the greatest hits), why Washington won't dig out of its deficit without an income tax, and more:

The US economy added about 200,000 jobs in December, while the unemployment rate fell to 8.5 percent, its lowest mark since February 2009. That's marginally good news for workers, and marginally bad for Republicans counting on the economy edging worse, not better.
One of the better tidbits of news in the report was that we added 23,000 manufacturing jobs in December. A drop in the bucket compared to the losses these past few years, but a big move in the right direction.