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Monday, December 2, 2013

A Tale of Two Cities

Posted by on Mon, Dec 2, 2013 at 2:41 PM

Kshama Sawant ran strong throughout the landlocked interior of Seattle.
  • Elliott Day | lltt.co
  • Kshama Sawant ran strong throughout much of Seattle's landlocked interior.

To be clear, it wasn't just District 3 in which Kshama Sawant ran strong. While I don't have the precinct totals at my fingertips, as you can see from the citywide map above, Sawant also racked up a sizable advantage in District 2 (Southeast Seattle) and District 6 (Ballard, Fremont, etc.). In fact, Sawant did quite well throughout Seattle's landlocked interior, whereas voters with water views tended to strongly support incumbent Richard Conlin.

It's hard not to see the obvious division by wealth. Owners of fancy houses with landscaped lawns clearly weren't so into the Socialist. But this was more than just class consciousness. There are plenty of expensive condos and apartments on Capitol Hill, and yet their affluent residents weren't scared away by Sawant's socialist message.

And I'm not going to imply anything more than that.

 

Comments (18) RSS

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Kinison 1
So rich white people with homes can be Democrats? Fancy that!
Posted by Kinison http://www.holgatehawks.com on December 2, 2013 at 2:50 PM · Report this
2
And as a resident of Queen Anne, I will do my best to keep the Republican candidate from racking up a huge victory in 2015.
Posted by Why are there cars? on December 2, 2013 at 2:55 PM · Report this
Max Solomon 3
wealth &/or age.
Posted by Max Solomon on December 2, 2013 at 3:09 PM · Report this
Will in Seattle 4
The thing is, the maps all show the difference was the Suburban Times didn't take Sawant seriously, so they and Downtown didn't tar her with the War On Cars lie or the Downtown Crime Spree lie they used against McGinn.

They will use it next time.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on December 2, 2013 at 3:10 PM · Report this
5
Isn't this the flip image of the last set of red:blue states for the presidential campaign, where states that bordered large bodies of water generally were blue?
Posted by jongers http://www.jongrossphotography.com on December 2, 2013 at 3:12 PM · Report this
Joe Szilagyi 6
Hey, she won a couple of coastal areas, on the lake and one odd little strip of Beach Drive ($$) in West Seattle.
Posted by Joe Szilagyi http://www.zombo.com on December 2, 2013 at 3:16 PM · Report this
theophrastus 7
many of those regions correspond to a population density map
(e.g. http://buildthecity.files.wordpress.com/… ) so to a first approximation of pattern recognition one has to raise the statistician's lament: http://xkcd.com/1138/
Posted by theophrastus on December 2, 2013 at 3:54 PM · Report this
raindrop 8
A lot of squirrels in Discovery Park must have voted for Conlin.
Posted by raindrop on December 2, 2013 at 4:03 PM · Report this
9
It's as if there were people who know there is a depression going on, and those that don't.
Posted by anon1256 on December 2, 2013 at 4:21 PM · Report this
10
Sawant is anti-water.
Posted by tacky on December 2, 2013 at 5:38 PM · Report this
ScienceNerd 11
Right after I voted for Sawant, I moved to a sky rise with a water view in Belltown. I'll start working on them from the inside. :)
Posted by ScienceNerd http://stanichium.tumblr.com/ on December 2, 2013 at 6:05 PM · Report this
12
@7: But this isn't the same at all, because it is looking at percentage, not flat value. If it was a map showing # of Sawant voters, that would be a legitimate comparison, but it is not, and thus your comparison is inapt.
Posted by Hanoumatoi on December 2, 2013 at 7:02 PM · Report this
theophrastus 13
@12 of course i humbly disagree. if more than a few of those delineated regions match up (and many match up exactly) then any proper analysis should find a way to compensate ("subtract") out the population bias; which has not been done. as it is, any statistician worth her salt would tell you that very little can be concluded from the way it's been presented. the heat map xkcd complaint is valid and quite "apt" because you're deceptively tracking population as well as vote percent. (i don't see how it being a "flat value" or percent or relative rank or parts-per-million ratio would ever validate something invalid like this)
Posted by theophrastus on December 2, 2013 at 8:33 PM · Report this
Clara T 14
Yeah what a bunch of red state Glen Beck tea party wackos those West Ballard people are. Death is too go for them.
Posted by Clara T on December 3, 2013 at 8:12 AM · Report this
15
@13 The regions in your population density map (Census block groups) contain very different numbers of residents and are basically uniform in size. The regions in the map on this post (precincts) are basically uniform in population, and vary widely in size. That patterns of population density are consistent with patterns of Sawant's strongest precincts means that people who live in dense neighborhoods tended to vote for Sawant. Supporting one candidate vs another, and by how much, is not inherently related to population.
Posted by Seattle Words on December 3, 2013 at 9:31 AM · Report this
16
Isn't it a bit disingenuous to use Blue-Red for this map? Sure, Sawant is further left than Conlin, but Conlin isn't a Republican by any means. And technically the race was non-partisan. And in liberal Seattle making Conlin-voting districts red makes them seem evil...

A simple Green-yellow scheme would have been much more neutral and just as informative.
Posted by A.S.K. on December 3, 2013 at 3:32 PM · Report this
Cascadian Bacon 17
My hood is bright red.

Best Seattle indeed.
Posted by Cascadian Bacon on December 7, 2013 at 4:12 PM · Report this
18
@ 2 If we got a socialist why not a GOP?

And just because they are red doesn't mean conservative. Conlin wasn' exactly a big conservative no matter what slog would have you believe.
Posted by Seattle14 on December 8, 2013 at 12:25 AM · Report this

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