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Friday, March 8, 2013

Republicans for McGinn!

Posted by on Fri, Mar 8, 2013 at 1:21 PM

I honestly don't think there's a lot of news in yesterday's KING-5/SurveyUSA poll of Seattle's mayoral race. At 34 percent, undecided is by far the most popular choice in the nine-candidate field. After that, Mayor Mike McGinn and former King County Executive Ron Sims (who has yet to declare) are tied at 15 percent, with Tim Burgess, Ed Murray, Peter Steinbrueck, and Bruce Harrell trailing at ten, nine, seven, and five percent respectively. In other words, it's a wide open field. Not exactly a surprise.

Those numbers wouldn't look so awful for Mayor McGinn if he wasn't the incumbent. But he is. So that's not a strong place to start. But it's not hopeless either. Everybody knew McGinn would face a tough fight for reelection. This poll only confirms it.

But if McGinn's level of support in this poll doesn't surprise you, where he's drawing it from might. At 34 percent, McGinn is by far the first choice of Republicans; Burgess is second with 15 percent. Twenty-seven percent of self-described conservatives also support McGinn, far ahead of Sims and Burgess at ten percent each. Weird.

Dom thinks that McGinn's Republican support may be due to leftover street cred from his fight against the viaduct tunnel, which many on the right viewed as a costly boondoggle. And I wonder if McGinn's stubborn (and I'd argue, misguided) defense of the SPD might also gird his support with law-and-order Republicans?

Speculation aside, while Republicans only account for 12 percent of respondents in the KING-5 poll, it's not unreasonable to imagine their support proving to be the tipping point in a nine-way primary, handing McGinn the edge he needs to get through to November. Again, weird. But not beyond the realm of possibilities.


Comments (13) RSS

Oldest First Unregistered On Registered On Add a comment
Um, 10% margin of error for the "without McGinn"'s junk data. Only the first question is worth anything.
Posted by ZachS on March 8, 2013 at 1:37 PM · Report this
Any way you look at it, McGinn ain't without a chance, yet.
Posted by howie in seattle on March 8, 2013 at 1:47 PM · Report this
Gern Blanston 3
He probably gained a lot of support among Republican sports fans as well for supporting the new arena and the return of the Sonics.
Posted by Gern Blanston on March 8, 2013 at 2:03 PM · Report this
Why shouldn't McGinn be favored by Republicans? All he has done since he has been in office is suck developer cock and swallow developer cum.
Posted by It's as plain as day on March 8, 2013 at 2:07 PM · Report this
kitschnsync 5
While Burgess has been shoring up his support in progressive camps, McGinn has been trying to gain the support of the business community.

This trend is fairly recent, and could easily reverse in a matter of weeks.
Posted by kitschnsync on March 8, 2013 at 2:16 PM · Report this
Hernandez 6
@3 I'm guessing you're correct. The anti-sports crowd on this blog severely underestimates the value that many actual sports fans place on getting the Sonics back. And sports fandom is a very "purple" pursuit in the political sense. The Mariners and Seahawks are pretty much the only two topics I can have a civilized conversation with a hardcore conservative about.
Posted by Hernandez on March 8, 2013 at 2:28 PM · Report this
Will in Seattle 7
What @6 said.

Local sports fans and people who actually live in this city, as opposed to visiting here or living in the suburbs, love him.

Still, it will all depend on when they pull the funding rug out from under the 99 tunnel, I suppose, cause that hole's digging itself deeper and deeper and there's no way out.

Just ask the Mercer Mess your comrades on the Eastside foisted on us. That's not going away, it will keep getting worse, and we all know it.
Posted by Will in Seattle on March 8, 2013 at 2:57 PM · Report this
Cascadian Bacon 8
I hope that fat, lying, bearded, anti-Northwest, freedom hating, new york fuck chokes to death on a ham sandwich.

He needs to be tarred, feathered and sent back to Long Island on a rail.
Posted by Cascadian Bacon on March 8, 2013 at 3:41 PM · Report this
Original Andrew 9
One of Seattle's three RepubliKKKans is voting for McGinn?
Posted by Original Andrew on March 8, 2013 at 3:52 PM · Report this
watchout5 10
I got no more reason to go for McGuinn, his competition doesn't own T-Mobile and lie about his voting record. Instead he's got a track record for letting the SPD off the hook and fighting with my main man Pete Holmes. McGuinn's got plenty of time to show us what he's worth, but aside from a WoW performance I don't think there's enough republicans to save him.
Posted by watchout5 on March 8, 2013 at 4:09 PM · Report this
The sample of Republicans is too small in that poll to make much of those results.
Posted by ian on March 8, 2013 at 4:25 PM · Report this
Storbaker 12
As a person who tends to vote for the candidate who is/would be the best on environmental and climate related issues, it's sort of fun to be paired with fiscal conservatives for once. None of the other candidates in this survey come close to matching McGinn on my top issues. Divesting Seattle from fossil fuel investments makes McGinn an obvious champion and sets him in front of anybody running for Mayor here or anywhere actually.
Posted by Storbaker on March 9, 2013 at 8:55 AM · Report this
GeneStoner 13
After hosting the biggest and best gun shows in Seattle history (aka the "gun buyback"), McGinn TOTALLY has my vote.

Now if we can just get him to fix the fucking potholes...
Posted by GeneStoner on March 9, 2013 at 1:17 PM · Report this

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