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Monday, March 4, 2013

Why Republicans Love the Sequestration

Posted by on Mon, Mar 4, 2013 at 8:16 AM

The $85 billion in automatic federal spending cuts that began last week will make a superficial scratch in corporate profits (only about 1 percent), the New York Times reports this morning, but the cuts are expected to cost about 700,000 American jobs. This is good news for Republicans. The so-called sequestration more or less just keeps the United States on the same path we've been on—the path of the GOP's agenda. It's a path that lifted the stock market near record highs last week, and now the country's largest corporations, despite a recession that devastated workers and persists in the form of high unemployment, are scooping up their largest profits in decades:

As a percentage of national income, corporate profits stood at 14.2 percent in the third quarter of 2012, the largest share at any time since 1950, while the portion of income that went to employees was 61.7 percent, near its lowest point since 1966. In recent years, the shift has accelerated during the slow recovery that followed the financial crisis and ensuing recession of 2008 and 2009, said Dean Maki, chief United States economist at Barclays.

Corporate earnings have risen at an annualized rate of 20.1 percent since the end of 2008, he said, but disposable income inched ahead by 1.4 percent annually over the same period, after adjusting for inflation.

“There hasn’t been a period in the last 50 years where these trends have been so pronounced,” Mr. Maki said.

The GOP needs the sequestration. Republicans can no longer mobilize their base by opposing gay marriage, by thwarting attempts to protect women, or by using immigrants as their whipping boy—at least, not like they used to with a national audience—so the party is ostensibly united around fiscal austerity. But that's not what this is about. In the hearts of their leaders, theirs is the party of corporate profits and neutering the power of workers, particularly the poorest workers, and now they hatch two birds with one egg. And all they had to do is do what they do best: nothing.

 

Comments (16) RSS

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Ya Sure Ya Betcha 1
The idea for this poison pill originated in The White House: Office of Management Director Jack Lew and Legislative Affairs Director Rob Nabors.
Posted by Ya Sure Ya Betcha on March 4, 2013 at 8:33 AM
Supreme Ruler Of The Universe 2

Does anyone else find it interesting that Amazon and GroupOn have no profits?
Posted by Supreme Ruler Of The Universe http://www.you-read-it-here-first.com on March 4, 2013 at 8:40 AM
Former Lurker 3
For anyone who is at all shocked about either the economy, corporate profits, the existing politicians' behavior please re-read your Marx. Karl not Groucho.
Posted by Former Lurker on March 4, 2013 at 8:41 AM
lauramae 4
Yes, it is clear that the Republicans really have no constituency other than the financial interests that make their campaigns possible and engineer their wins. Fewer and fewer but clearly they still have deliberately obtuse supporters who don't believe that all of this is intentional. It's really a throwback to the Victorian times-industrial revolution when barons needed their workers to be desperate and quiet. If you are hungry, poor and desperate then you'll put up with anything at any wage. They won't finish until the standard of living is low in the U.S. And then as companies on shore jobs as they become competitive they get the double bonus of looking like heroes for "bringing jobs back to America."

Unfortunately for Obama, I don't think he and his advisers understand the plan, or they are a part of it for "the good of the country."

No one seemed particularly alarmed about the entirely stupid and boneheaded idea of sequestration. And look at number 1 up there...still the simple fool falling for the capitalist spin. Poor dear.
Posted by lauramae on March 4, 2013 at 8:42 AM
fletc3her 5
The Republicans at street level do not like the sequestration because it is hitting military jobs, but they are blaming the President for it. Hard to see whether it is a net win or loss for the Republican party.
Posted by fletc3her on March 4, 2013 at 8:53 AM
6
So profits will decline about one percent, and employment will decline about one half of one percent. This supports your thesis ... how, exactly???
Posted by RonK, Seattle on March 4, 2013 at 9:12 AM
Max Solomon 7
i hope obama has learned the problem with bipartisanship at this point. i could have told him the day he was elected.

"some men just want to see the world burn".

if he wanted the GOP to do something, anything, he should have made ALL the sequestration cuts to the DoD.
Posted by Max Solomon on March 4, 2013 at 9:18 AM
Dominic Holden 8
@6) I think you're making an apples to oranges comparison: On the one hand you've got a tiny fluctuation in corporate earnings that aren't expected to have any sizable impact on the stock market, and on the other is a small but significant change to the rate of unemployment, particularly among the poor. Unemployment rising above 8 percent would be widely viewed as slipping close to another dip, while executive pay and bonuses would remain high and stock dividends would be robust. This just reinforces, as the statistics show, a trend of widening disparity between wealth and poverty during the "recovery."
Posted by Dominic Holden on March 4, 2013 at 9:28 AM
Urgutha Forka 9
The republican party is basically using Nineteen Eighty Four as their policy manual.

Keep the proles anxious, hungry, sick, poor, and terrified, and they won't have the will to resist.
Posted by Urgutha Forka on March 4, 2013 at 9:42 AM
Bauhaus I 10
I think maybe this sequestration thing was a secret plan all along to cut the budget. Politicians thought they'd never be able to cut the programs they wanted to cut. The programs were too entrenched. So, they thought, let's cut everything and slowly add back the things that we all agree are essential. It is a gutless way for a politician to eliminate what he/she considers budget-busting programs and blame the other party for its lack of cooperation.

Yeah, I know it sounds conspiratorial, but given the current political climate in Washington, the need for politicians to hang on to their jobs, and the disconnect between the Congress and the American people (or even just their own constituency), it makes sense if this were a backdoor deal.

Think about it this way: If you made, say, $2000 a month and your rent and utilities were $2300 a month and you happened to be behind in rent and utilities. Would you enter into a deal whereby your landlord and bill collectors said, "If you don't get up to date in three months, we're going to start taking some of your things. And if you don't get up-to-date in six months, we'll take away more things, and on and on until you are up-to-date. And oh, by the way, you don't get to choose the things we'll take away."?

Would you enter into a deal like that? Well, the House said OK to it. And the President, under pressure, signed the bill. Now they are saying, "We never thought it'd come to this. We did this sequestration thing to inspire us to balance the budget." All the while everyone knew that the two sides would never come together.

So maybe - if I can be optimistic - this will inspire people to get out and vote for the right people if the populace can determine who is to blame. For me, it's pretty easy to see where the faults lie. Too bad, though, that this is going to hurt the wrong people. No one in Congress is going to be immediately furloughed. No one in Congress is going to lose a paycheck.
More...
Posted by Bauhaus I on March 4, 2013 at 9:46 AM
GeneStoner 11
@9 Mr Forka, total hyperbole and baseless, as usual. Sequestration was Obama's idea.

Dominic. When will you learn that the words "Corporation" and "Profit" are not bad words?
Just like "Liberal" and "Green" are not inherently good words.
Posted by GeneStoner on March 4, 2013 at 10:03 AM
venomlash 12
@11: Um, I thought Obama's idea was to raise taxes on the wealthy a little and cut spending a little. Care to support your assertion?
Posted by venomlash on March 4, 2013 at 10:43 AM
13
@12 - Indeed, he validated the idea that spending had to be cut now when over $1 billion had already been cut.
Posted by anon1256 on March 4, 2013 at 11:28 AM
14
@8 -- Walruses to walnuts.

BTW, executive comp is robust - while increasingly untethered to corporate profits - but dividends on common stocks (I'm pretty sure you don't really mean "stock dividends") are not robust - and neither are they a good measure of return on invested capital.

And the idea that the sequester is a fiendishly clever scheme serving the moneyed interests, rather than simply a desperate gamble by a congressional GOP that has stumbled into desperate straits? Zebras to zinnias.
Posted by RonK, Seattle on March 4, 2013 at 11:41 AM
Max Solomon 15
@11: was the debt ceiling debacle Obama's idea, too?

how soon we forget.

even you probably know that the GOP passed multiple hikes to it during Bush the Lesser's reign with nary a quibble.
Posted by Max Solomon on March 4, 2013 at 11:43 AM
Pridge Wessea 16
@15 - He knows, he just doesn't care. When has the truth ever mattered to those inside the conservalol fantasyland bubble?
Posted by Pridge Wessea on March 4, 2013 at 1:24 PM

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