Slog
News & ArtsThursday, October 18, 2012
2012 Good Poll News for Obama
Posted by Charles Mudede on Thu, Oct 18, 2012 at 5:41 PM
According to the polls – which were conducted from Monday through Wednesday, encompassing Tuesday’s presidential debate in New York and after – Obama receives the support of 51 percent of likely voters in Iowa to Romney’s 43 percent.That eight-point margin is unchanged from the NBC/WSJ/Marist poll released last month (before the debate season began), when the president led his Republican opponent 50 percent to 42 percent.
And in Wisconsin, Obama is ahead by six points among likely voters, 51 percent to 45 percent, which also is virtually unchanged from last month.
CNN suspects Obama got a bump from the second debate, which he clearly won, and reports about early voting in Iowa:
The NBC/WSJ/Marist results offer a contrast to previous polls released after the first debate, which showed Romney with a bounce in several swing states.A Marquette University Law School poll, for example, released Wednesday showed Obama ahead by only one point in Wisconsin, though the survey was conducted entirely before the second presidential debate. And in Iowa, an American Research Group survey released on Monday showed Obama and Romney tied at 48% in the Hawkeye State.
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll shows that Obama seems to have a strong lead over Romney among early voters in Iowa. About a third of likely voters said they have already cast their votes in the state, and 67% of them said they supported Obama, while 32% said they backed Romney.
When will this election end? I want to return to my Marxist theorizing.
4
@2 You have to care, man. It's too important.
It's amazing how much debates matter. Same thing with winning the news cycles. The media amplifies everything.
One more debate to go! Bring it, Obama!
It's amazing how much debates matter. Same thing with winning the news cycles. The media amplifies everything.
One more debate to go! Bring it, Obama!
6
Hi there, Have time to relax and take some makeover into your neighbors salon. Its Pinup Salon!
Yaeah. Obama rocks!
Yaeah. Obama rocks!
7
Ugh, not soon enough. I can't believe how unhinged people are becoming - it's disturbing. Yesterday I was berated on FB by someone who must have been a friend of a friend? I didn't know them. All of this because I posted a one line comment that said something to the effect of "Thanks for the laugh!" about a friend's Romney Ladybinder meme. Apparently this awful comment meant I'm a streetwalker and a lazy, unemployable communist? But somehow I also had too many jobs and should get back in the kitchen? I don't know, it's all so exhausting at this point, all I could do was chuckle and go to bed.
10
I'm getting so sick of election coverage, and biting my nails over the close race.
I, for one, will welcome the end of the election and the return of your marxist screeds. :-)
I, for one, will welcome the end of the election and the return of your marxist screeds. :-)
13
@12: If you think reporting on polls is all Nate Silver does, you're either not paying attention or a total fucking moron.
14
All you youngsters will have to face Tagg or Bagg or whoeverthehellagg running 10 years from now.
15
For what it's worth, I was in Iowa over the weekend (in the dumbass western part) and I was amazed by how many Obama signs there were in people's yards.
16
You can oppose same sex marriage and not be anti-gay. It's good to know, but too late bitchez I voted yesterday and that shit is in the mail, and i cannot change it now.
17
I travel for a living and after 10 days in NE Florida (the non-democratic part) and I only saw 2 Obama stickers and no Romnitron stickers. Looks like no one is excited to vote for a MorMan.
18
Charles, the philosophers have only interpreted the world, in various ways; the point is to change it. Re-electing Obama is the most Marxist thing you can do.
19
The Wisconsin polling is chilling. Marquette, in partucular. They had Walker getting recalled by about 5%, but it turned out exactly the opposite. For them to have Obama up by one 1% is scary. As for the post-debate results, well, we'll see. But Wisconsin was supposed to be an easy win for Obama, even with Ryan on Romney's ticket.
20
Catalina, you have revived hope in my old heart with your Iowa trip. Please visit all the battleground states now and report back.
22
For me this election will end when I receive my absentee ballot. Still no sign of it in my mailbox.
23
#21, I'm not a troll. I really thought Marquette had called it for Barrett. But I just looked it up, and see you're right about that. Mea maxima culpa.
24
@23, "I'm not a troll"
I was giving you the benefit of the doubt since beside malevolence, only stupidity could explain your constant regurgitating of GOP talking points.
I was giving you the benefit of the doubt since beside malevolence, only stupidity could explain your constant regurgitating of GOP talking points.
27
Maybe there is a true, scientific, Marxism out there, but I'm afraid most Marxists I've met have seemed very religious to me and unwilling to test hypotheses against objective data...and in a real world, what does it matter that there might be a decent ideal out there somewhere when the practice is nearly always as bad as 'religious' implies?
29
When Romney/Ryan rolled out their plan for medicare, it hurt them in the polls and I'm really hoping Romney's statement in the debate about how he's cutting/capping important tax credits (such as the morgage tax credit) will hurt them more.
His plan will help the economy? Really?
All those people with huge morgages think so?
His plan will help the economy? Really?
All those people with huge morgages think so?
30
GALLUP: R 52% O 45%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/electi…
Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney
Among likely voters
-----------------------------------
Date Obama Romney
10/1-7/2012 48 48
10/2-8/2012 47 49
10/3-9/2012 48 48
10/4-10/2012 47 48
10/5-11/2012 47 49
10/6-12/2012 47 49
10/7-13/2012 47 49
10/8-14/2012 47 49
10/9-15/2012 46 50
10/10-16/2012 45 51
10/11-17/2012 45 52
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/electi…
Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney
Among likely voters
-----------------------------------
Date Obama Romney
10/1-7/2012 48 48
10/2-8/2012 47 49
10/3-9/2012 48 48
10/4-10/2012 47 48
10/5-11/2012 47 49
10/6-12/2012 47 49
10/7-13/2012 47 49
10/8-14/2012 47 49
10/9-15/2012 46 50
10/10-16/2012 45 51
10/11-17/2012 45 52
31
Explain to me again why we have a leader in a distant seat of power who is chosen by voters too stupid to move out of the fly over states.
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