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Friday, September 7, 2012

Some Perspective on Those Jobs Numbers

Posted by on Fri, Sep 7, 2012 at 8:33 AM

aug_employment_chart.jpg
  • The White House

They're not good, but the White House this morning e-mailed out this familiar graph—updated with the latest numbers—along with this statement from Alan B. Krueger, chairman of President Obama's Council of Economic Advisers:

While there is more work that remains to be done, today’s employment report provides further evidence that the U.S. economy is continuing to recover from the worst downturn since the Great Depression. It is critical that we continue the policies that are building an economy that works for the middle class as we dig our way out of the deep hole that was caused by the severe recession that began in December 2007.

If you were in unconscious for the last four years, awoke during the Republican convention, and then immediately lapsed back into unconsciousness—well, first, sorry. That sucks. But second, you might be under the impression that the Great Recession began the day Obama took office. Wrong! See above.

The rest of Krueger's statement is in the jump.

To create more jobs in particularly hard-hit sectors, President Obama continues to support the elements of the American Jobs Act that have not yet passed, including further investment in infrastructure to rebuild our Nation’s ports, roads and highways, and assistance to State and local governments to prevent layoffs and to enable them to rehire hundreds of thousands of teachers and first responders. To build on the progress of the last few years, President Obama has also proposed an extension of middle class tax cuts that would prevent the typical middle class family from facing a $2,200 tax increase next year.

Today’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) shows that private sector establishments added 103,000 jobs last month, and overall non-farm payroll employment rose by 96,000. The economy has now added private sector jobs for 30 straight months, for a total of 4.6 million jobs during that period.

The household survey showed that the unemployment rate declined from 8.3% to 8.1% in August.

Employment rose notably in leisure and hospitality (+34,000), professional and business services (+28,000), health care and social assistance (+21,700), and wholesale trade (+7,900). Manufacturing lost 15,000 jobs, including a 7,500 drop in motor vehicles and parts, which is partly payback for there having been relatively few seasonal auto plant shutdowns in July. Over the past 30 months, manufacturers have added more than 500,000 jobs. Government lost 7,000 jobs, as state government payrolls fell by 6,000 and local governments shed 4,000 jobs. Since February 2010, State and local governments have lost 504,000 jobs.

As the Administration stresses every month, the monthly employment and unemployment figures can be volatile, and employment estimates can be subject to substantial revision. Therefore, it is important not to read too much into any one monthly report and it is informative to consider each report in the context of other data that are becoming available.

 

Comments (16) RSS

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1
"The economy has now added private sector jobs for 30 straight months, for a total of 4.6 million jobs during that period....."

wow.

impressive.

too bad Obama lost 4.9 million jobs before he added 4.6

America has still not broken even.
Posted by PinkSlipPresident on September 7, 2012 at 8:41 AM
2
More people dropped out of the labour force than found a job.

But we are headed in the right direction, right?

right?.......
Posted by Obama has KILLED the SPIRIT of AMERICAN WORKERS on September 7, 2012 at 8:47 AM
Pick1 3
@1 Yes, and it was the policies Obama enacted immediately after taking office that caused that 4.9 job loss...
Posted by Pick1 on September 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM
4
Is that graph available going back -like- forever? It'd be interesting to see.
Posted by Foonken2 http://www.whatnonotnow.tumblr.com on September 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM
5
3
yeah.
he bad....
Posted by thank you for your support on September 7, 2012 at 8:57 AM
6
Nobody blames Obama for the great recession. I think he did a pretty good job guiding the country through the worst of the crisis and avoiding economic disaster. I also think that Obama's mild hostility toward American business has contributed to the tepid pace of the recovery.
Posted by Ken Mehlman on September 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM
7
@6, "nobody blames Obama"? Are you kidding? Every single Repug does.
Posted by originalcinner on September 7, 2012 at 9:10 AM
Urgutha Forka 8
I shudder to think of the hellhole we'd be in now if McCain had been elected instead of Obama.

Major auto manufacturing in the U.S. would likely be gone forever, limited to a few boutique and small companies. Millions more would be unemployed than there are currently. The city governments in many democratic leaning cities would be replaced by unelected "emergency managers" who function essentially as vassals to their republican feudal governor-lords (as is the case currently in Benton Harbor, MI)

We'd probably be involved in Civil wars all over the Middle East and likely at war or the brink of war with Iran. Likely still at war with Iraq. The national debt would be skyrocketing well past what it is now.

The only available jobs would probably be as grunts in the Army.

The republicans have always wanted freedom and liberty to exist ONLY for their wealthy and powerful friends. They want the entire rest of the country to have no say in how they run things.

Frightening all around.
Posted by Urgutha Forka on September 7, 2012 at 9:20 AM
9
@8 Yeah, but a few more Americans would be working if Obama had said yes to the Keystone Pipeline.
Posted by Ken Mehlman on September 7, 2012 at 9:32 AM
Max Solomon 10
who set the expectations at 130K, 200K? fox news?

this was the best august job performance in 6 years.
Posted by Max Solomon on September 7, 2012 at 10:32 AM
11
@9 I'm truly glad he didn't. We shouldn't sacrifice future generations and the environment for a "quick fix" The jobs it would have added weren't permanent so when ever the pipeline was finished we would be in this mess all over again.
Posted by tigntink on September 7, 2012 at 10:33 AM
12
@11 By forgoing useful infa-structure, such as the Keystone Pipeline, we sacrifice the prosperity of future generations. Global warming is going to happen no matter what we do or don't do. Besides, according to Jonathan Golob's piece there is only a 10% chance that the environment will be so badly ruined that the human race will go extinct, so why worry?
Posted by Ken Mehlman on September 7, 2012 at 10:50 AM
Beetlecat 13
@10 exactly. The only difference seems to be what adjective people chose to put in front of it.
Posted by Beetlecat on September 7, 2012 at 11:24 AM
14
@12,

Only a 10 percent chance of total extinction? That sure puts my mind at ease.

And no one is more hostile to American business than Republicans. They want only their cronies to benefit from government largesse. Every other business owner and entrepreneur can eat a dick.
Posted by keshmeshi on September 7, 2012 at 1:47 PM
15
DNC highlight reel----

1- Clinton making the case that:
Obama hasn't gotten the job done-not even close- but, hey!- even a demigod like me couldn't have done it.....(plus reminding everyone how much they miss Bill and what a limp noodle Obama is)

2- The vicious snarling angry rank and file Democraps rejecting God and Jerusalem (with the yummy icing of the total fiasco hamfisted clumsy way in which it was handled, managing to Piss Off and Disgust, literally, every band on the ideological spectrum- the Godless Heathens know they had the votes to defeat the measure but were screwed over and ignored and humiliated and Godfearing Real America not at all fooled by the cosmetic repair to the platform.)
Priceless.........

3- Obama's limp speech, confirming the impression of inadequacy created by Bill's boffo performance and hinting at the job numbers to come....

4- the truly frighteningly GRIM job numbers that rushed in before the hangovers were even gone mocking the Democraps party.

damn. You couldn't make up stuff this good.......
Posted by too bad what happened in Charlotte won't stay in Charlotte on September 8, 2012 at 5:03 AM
16
As noted this is the best August jobs number in 6 years. August is the time all the college kids quit and go back to school. We also had substantial impacts from weather (read "global warming") impacts. Forest fires led to 10,000s being displaced into shelters. And then Issac pounded the SE, with flooding and more displacement. Me3anwhile the European decline has led to a fall in export related jobs. And yet we still came out with the best August in 6 years?
Posted by retrogrouch on September 10, 2012 at 10:28 AM

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