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Monday, August 13, 2012

Arena Becomes Election-Year Football in Race Against a Port Commissioner

Posted by on Mon, Aug 13, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Gael Tarleton serves on the Port of Seattle Commission, which has been braying the last few months with vague criticisms and unsubstantiated claims that a Sodo basketball arena may cripple our maritime industry.

Tarleton is also running for a new office—as the big-money frontrunner in the race—to represent the 36th District in the legislature. So it was probably inevitable that her election opponent, Noel Frame, took a jab at Tarleton's part in the anti-arena campaign:

My general election opponent has been an obstructionist and naysayer on the arena proposal. She has acted as a mouthpiece for the Port and powerful maritime interests (many of whom are funding her campaign) who seek to undermine the proposal to protect their own narrow interests. In doing so, she has repeatedly offered unsubstantiated and now debunked claims: for instance, that the arena will jeopardize 100,000 future jobs the Port will create. Only after media scrutiny did she concede to the Seattle Times that the 100,000 jobs figure was “aspirational” rather than built on actual growth projections and that most of those jobs, if they ever materialize at all, will happen due to growth at SeaTac Airport, rather than along the waterfront.

It's a solid hit on Tarleton.

Frame is using a popular, comprehensible issue to expose Tareleton's Achilles’ heel. She's is already considered cozy with big money donors, and her arena crusading may confirm the suspicions of her critics: Tarleton works foremost for her financial backers, with her mind already made up, facts be damned. That's the hit, anyway. But given that the port hasn't backed up its claims after several months (especially after its triple-whammy of studies last week), Tarleton can't pull a rabbit out of her hat now.

It's not necessarily black and white (Tarlton is nice, nuanced human)—and by national political standards she's practically Dennis Kucinich—but it could nag the minds of voters who don't want Hanjin, Cosco, and SSA Marine representing them in Olympia.

UPDATE: Tarleton has just emailed a campaign statement without explanation that responds to Frame. Sort of. I've posted it below.

Taxpayers and voters of the 36th District expect elected officials to know how to scrutinize deals that involve taxpayer dollars. The SODO deal is a proposal from hedge fund managers to spend public money to support private developer interests. Political pandering to private developers does not create or protect union jobs, and risks undermining our collective responsibility to honor the Growth Management Act and SEPA. That is why voices from labor, environment, and maritime businesses have called on elected officials to proceed with caution. With hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars at stake, we cannot risk suffering from buyers’ remorse. It is not my job to increase the profit margins of private developers on the backs of working people, union jobs and taxpayers. As an elected official, it is my job to make sure that public dollars are spent in public to serve the broadest public interests. There are 33,000 people with family-wage jobs going to work every day in SODO. There are 15,000 fishing and maritime jobs in the 36th District’s Ballard-Interbay manufacturing industrial district. The public owns Key Arena and Seattle Center in our district but there is no plan for their future. During the past four and a half years, I’ve saved taxpayers millions of dollars by insisting on tough government audits while helping to create 7,000 jobs.

 

Comments (22) RSS

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Supreme Ruler Of The Universe 1

Go Tacoma Dome.

It would be a salve to all bruised egos.
Posted by Supreme Ruler Of The Universe http://www.you-read-it-here-first.com on August 13, 2012 at 12:04 PM
2

What does The Stranger have against a working waterfront that provides thousands of family wage jobs?.
Posted by joel connelly on August 13, 2012 at 12:20 PM
Dominic Holden 3
Joel:

Beg the question much? It's silly to think that this is a choice between waterfront vitality or an arena unless there's some evidence it back it up. In fact, framing the issue as this choice is exactly why your question and the Port of Seattle's advocacy aren't credible.

The port's activism might be convincing if they could do more than issue skewed messaging polls, recycle speculations we've heard before, and pass off unsubstantiated fear-mongering as reports. Instead, they present a logical fallacy that's easily dismissed.

However, this piece isn't really about the port's claims, but to say that as long as the port lacks evidence to back up those claims, Frame has a good political hit on her opponent.
Posted by Dominic Holden on August 13, 2012 at 1:03 PM
Posted by gloomy gus on August 13, 2012 at 1:11 PM
Baconcat 5
So... Port employers paying living wages or better versus a hedge fund manager's vanity arena that will pay hundreds poverty wages? Hmm...
Posted by Baconcat on August 13, 2012 at 1:57 PM
6
@5 - the bulk of the Ports employees make minimal wages. And if it were up to the Port, they would make less. Next time you're at SeaTac, ask an employee what they make.
Posted by TJ on August 13, 2012 at 2:10 PM
7
Honestly, the impact of the arena will be moot if the coal port in Whatcom county becomes a reality. They ought to focus on fighting against that instead of an arena that may not even happen given the NBA's and NHL's situations as of late. Unless both teams are secured that deal doesn't stand a chance at succeeding in the long term.
Posted by pragmatic on August 13, 2012 at 2:24 PM
Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn 8
Yeah, promise them free sports, be popular. It is doubtful you can get elected in this town telling the truth that adding our fourth or fifth big time pro sports team will not be a free lunch.

Instead promise it will be painless and let whoever comes after you pay the bills. By the time the other shoe drops our local pols will have gotten their undersecretary of whatever appointments in the next Democratic administration and won't even remember what they promised.
Posted by Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn http://youtu.be/zu-akdyxpUc on August 13, 2012 at 3:07 PM
gloomy gus 9
@6, the overwhelming majority of jobs related to the Port are not employed not by the Port itself but by businesses operating at and/or reliant on the Port. Think maybe that's why @5 used the phrase "Port employers"? Still, the Port itself made public all its 1650-odd employees' hourly wages and annual salaries to the Tacoma News Tribune, which makes them easy for anyone to look up here: http://www.thenewstribune.com/soundinfo/…

Yet it's quite true some Port-related businesses, especially at Sea-Tac, remain low-wage and the Port does nothing to help them. I've appreciated that Slog's covered some of those struggles, especially when they had Jake Blumgart on staff for a hot minute that one time. 

Many of those workers are stuck in low wage positions with little barganing power, similar to concession workers and luxury skybox waitstaff at sports stadiums.
Posted by gloomy gus on August 13, 2012 at 3:17 PM
gloomy gus 10
Oops, I "not"ted too much.
Posted by gloomy gus on August 13, 2012 at 3:19 PM
11
Now that you guys have committed yourself to flogging the discredited notion that arenas spur economic activity, you might not want to be so flagrant about accusing others of "facts be damned" attitudes. Pot, kettle, and all that.

Also, I now dislike both Frame and Tarleton. Damn.
Posted by d.p. on August 13, 2012 at 3:20 PM
Sean Kinney 12
I love sports. Basketball is the perfect sport. But... the NBA is a dismal moral economy, and the clowns who own these teams can get fucked.

We need the another SoDo sports structure like we need a Disney theme park.

We should consider levering Seattle's public debt on something that is centered on a forward-looking, carbon neutral mode of production rather than the consumption of cheesy symbolism and the fucktard corporate oligarchy.

So yeah, you go Gael!!!
Posted by Sean Kinney http:// on August 13, 2012 at 3:44 PM
Sean Kinney 13
See John Siegfried and Andrew Zimbalist, “The Economics of Sports Facilities and Their Communities,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 14, no. 3 (200): 95-115
[ http://www.uwlax.edu/faculty/anderson/mi… ]

Noteworthy claims (among many):

“independent work on the economic impact of stadiums and arenas has uniformly found that there is no statistically significant positive correlation between sports facility construction and economic development…

These results stand in distinct contrast to the promotional studies that are typically done by consulting firms under the hire of teams or local chambers of commerce supporting facility development. Typically, such promotional studies project future impact and almost inevitably adopt unrealistic assumptions regarding local value added, new spending, and associated multipliers. They often use a regional input-output model that depends on outdated technical coefficients which are treated as invariant to shifts in supply and demand...

The academic work on the economic impact of sports facilities and teams does not rely upon projection. Rather, it compares the local economic performance of areas with and without stadiums, arenas, and teams, controlling for other variables that affect local economic conditions...cross-section studies, for example...found no significant difference in personal income growth from 1958 to 1987 between 36 metropolitan areas that hosted a team in one of the four premier professional sports leagues and 12 otherwise comparable areas that did not. Looking at 46 cities over the 1990–94 period...higher high school graduation rates and more spending on police are what encouraged economic growth, while the presence of a major league sports team actually put a drag on the local economy.” [103-104]

(don't recommend giving the SPD more money, certainly)

More...
Posted by Sean Kinney http:// on August 13, 2012 at 4:39 PM
Sean Kinney 14
See Dennis Coates, "A Closer Look at Stadium Subsidies," The American [yeah, I know, AEI, ugh], April 29, 2008.

[ http://american.com/archive/2008/april-0… ]

Coates makes a very similar argument that Siegried and Zimablist make (@13):

“The most basic question about stadiums, arenas, and sports franchises is the extent to which they contribute to the vitality of the local economy. Supporters of publicly financed stadiums argue that the benefits are substantial, while opponents say they are small and highly concentrated among the wealthiest citizens. To buttress their case, supporters mostly use economic impact studies that predict how the local economy will be affected by the stadium, while opponents compare the economy before and after the facility is constructed. Supporters tend to imply that redistribution of economic activity from the suburbs or outlying areas of a city to the downtown is desirable, while opponents generally oppose this sort of redistribution and focus instead on job and income creation.

There is little evidence of large increases in income or employment associated with the introduction of professional sports or the construction of new stadiums.
The typical economic impact study gathers data on all aspects of spending related to a stadium, including the money spent to build it and the money spent by fans in connection with the stadium (including on tickets, at restaurants, and at hotels). The impact of this spending ripples outward into other areas of the economy through a multiplier. By linking spending to employment, the study then calculates how many jobs a stadium has created. It does not perform a cost-benefit analysis, which would address the opportunity costs of raising taxes to pay for a stadium and consider alternative uses of those funds.
Academic researchers have examined the prospective economic impact studies and found a variety of methodological errors in them, all of which raise doubts about the magnitude of the predicted spending and job increases. Other scholars use data from multiple years before and after stadium construction to measure the impact of the stadium. These ex post studies reject stadium subsidies as an effective tool for generating local economic development.

My own research…has used perhaps the most extensive data, incorporating yearly observations on per capita personal income, employment, and wages in each of the metropolitan areas that was home to a professional football, basketball, or baseball team between 1969 and the late 1990s. Our analysis tried to determine the consequences of stadium construction and franchise relocations while controlling for other circumstances in the local economy. Scholars…have taken slightly different approaches, but the results are fairly constant from one analysis to another. There is little evidence of large increases in income or employment associated with the introduction of professional sports or the construction of new stadiums.

Indeed, my work with…finds that the professional sports environment—which includes the presence of franchises in multiple sports, the arrival or departure of teams, and stadium construction—may actually reduce local incomes. For example, we found that the overall sports environment reduced per capita personal income, a finding that was new in the economic literature at the time we published it...We also found that, in many local economies, wages and employment in the retail and services sectors have dropped because of professional sports.”

More...
Posted by Sean Kinney http:// on August 13, 2012 at 4:52 PM
MrBaker 15
The Port will not lose any jobs.
I used just as many facts as the Port,so, I hope everybody feels better.

Max the "clerk" made $150,000 last year according to his testimony to the KC Council.
Mmmm, yes, it's the arena that hasn't been built yet that had 20% of the container business go to T-town.

Things are so good they gave their CEO a 9% increase in his living wage.
The Port needs to look in the mirror.
Posted by MrBaker http://manywordsforrain.blogspot.com/ on August 13, 2012 at 5:19 PM
MrBaker 16
http://www.fieldofschemes.com/news/archi…

t's up to Seattle residents and elected officials to determine whether this is a good use of the city's bonding capacity. But one thing seems pretty clear: It's an outstanding deal compared to just about any other stadium or arena deal of the past 20 years — I'd even say it's better than the San Francisco Giants deal for Pac Bell Park, since there the city paid for land acquisition, and here the city would only be paying for part of the land cost.
Posted by MrBaker http://manywordsforrain.blogspot.com/ on August 13, 2012 at 5:25 PM
Mike 17
Nobody's saying "this is bad as far as stadium deals go." Opponents are instead saying "We shouldn't be spending public funds on private ventures during a time when we're presenting all-cuts budgets."

Not to mention that "a good deal compared to other stadium deals" is like saying that Mars is a thriving garden planet compared to the non-Earth planets in our solar system.
Posted by Mike on August 13, 2012 at 6:11 PM
18
Dominic, great job exposing the port's baseless arguments. Nobody is "against the maritime industry". That's just stupid, and yet another wagon for anti-arena folks to hop on. There has been zero evidence that the arena will negatively affect the port. I'm still hoping the port is just leveraging for their long-term concerns. Sounds like things are moving along with Hansen and the city council - unlike the majority of the anti-arena crowd, he is reasonable, forward thinking and willing to work with others. Great job of coverage on this issue, Stranger. Being em back!!!
Posted by Slog Tipper David on August 13, 2012 at 6:30 PM
19
@ Mike it seems like you are unfamiliar with the deal. This doesn't take any spending away from anything else, so that's a moot point whether you care to admit it or not.
Posted by Slog Tipper David on August 13, 2012 at 6:32 PM
MrBaker 20
@17, the arena has zero impact on the "all cuts budget".
Posted by MrBaker http://manywordsforrain.blogspot.com/ on August 13, 2012 at 6:33 PM
The Third Rail 21
Dom, I like how you spell Tarleton three different ways in the span of a single post.
Posted by The Third Rail on August 13, 2012 at 9:11 PM
Karlheinz Arschbomber 22
Fuck building a billionaire's playground and subsidizing multimillion-dollar salaries for illiterate thugs on the public dime. It is NOT a boost for the local economy, this is a Big Lie. http://fieldofschemes.com
Posted by Karlheinz Arschbomber http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arschbombe on August 14, 2012 at 2:04 AM

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