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Wednesday, August 8, 2012

Republican Butt Cheeks Are Concave After Last Night's Ass-Kicking

Posted by on Wed, Aug 8, 2012 at 8:59 AM

Republicans never mustered more than 50 percent of the vote in a statewide race last night. Even when you added up votes for all the Republicans in one race. That's a terrible omen in a divided state like Washington. A primary election with a low turnout (dominated by older voters) historically skews conservative, and early returns tend to favor Republicans. If the GOP can't win most votes with this electorate, they're set up to fail in the general election.

Consider Reagan Dunn's loss—and subsequent delusion.

He's taking a 52-38 loss to Democrat Bob Ferguson and an even bigger loss of 27 points in King County. But you wouldn't know it from the GOP attorney general candidate's "Statement on Primary Victory" email sent to supporters this morning.

The trends could reverse in later returns, but that seems unlikely. In the blue bastion of King County, voter turnout is expected to be 10 percent higher than the state overall. The county's turnout is projected at 52 percent, says King County Elections spokeswoman Kim van Ekstrom. That leaves the county, which has reported about 40 percent of what it expects to report, with a projected 335,000 votes still to be tallied. Statewide, about 50 percent of votes have been counted. In other words, later returns will likely skew to King County's progressive bias.

BAD OMEN: This was the sickly-looking elephant vomitting into the punch bowl at Rob McKennas party.
  • Mike Gore
  • BAD OMEN: This was the sickly-looking elephant vomitting into the punch bowl at Rob McKenna's party.
By victory, it turns out, Dunn was talking about making it through the "Republican primary" (a thing that does not technically exist in Washington State). There never was any contest between his GOP competitor, quixotic bigot and serial campaign loser Stephen Pidgeon, who took about 9 percent of the vote. Even if the Republican votes are combined, that's still a losing GOP vote of only 47 percent against Ferguson, which may further drop as lefty returns come in from King County. This looks goddamn terrible for Dunn going into the general election, where voters are younger and more Democratic. Will absurd smear tactics will help? Dunn's victory email continues: "My opponent has stated explicitly that he has no intention of going after criminals who threaten the safety of Washington families." Ferguson = family hater. God knows what Dunn is droning on about here, but it's dismissible bloviating from a guy who just got drubbed by a 14-point margin and called it a victory.

In contrast, Democrat Peter Goldmark won nearly 52 percent of the vote in a three-way race against Republican Clint Didier and an independent. Likewise, Democrat Mike Kreidler won 54 percent of the vote for insurance commissioner.

Okay, you might be saying, those races both featured incumbent Democrats who have won statewide, so let's look at at open seats. Even there, Republicans got their asses kicked.

The only Republican candidate for Secretary of State, Kim Wyman, won 39 percent of the vote. Next up: Troy Kelly could be the next state auditor, leading the pack of Democrats against James Watkins (who got only 45 percent of the votes).

Or how about the governor's race.

Even there, Democrats hurdled the 50-percent mark. Jay Inslee, who's never won statewide, took nearly 47 percent of the vote, along with Rob Hill snagging another 4 percent. Sure, that's only 51 percent, but it's a Democratic advantage in a conservative race that, by all conventional predictions, they were supposed to lose. Republican Rob McKenna has won statewide twice before. But he only got 43 percent of the vote, putting him an awful place when he's up against a dogged effort to get out the vote for Obama, gay marriage, and pot legalization. Conservatives will be driven to the polls, too, of course, but it will be hard to overcome the progressive home-turf advantage of November in a historically blue state.

Meanwhile, in Democratic losers: Poor Laura Ruderman's mom! And by poor, I mean, she's literally made out of money piles that she stuffed into ad buys to smear her daughter's opponent. Not only did it not work, it super-not-worked. Ruderman got a hilarious 7 percent of the vote. So Ruderman is out. Darcy Burner conceded. And Democrat Suzan DelBene, and her $2.3 million is self-funded hubris, overcame Rudermom to win a spot on the general election ballot. Still, Suzan DelBene is the worst sort of candidate: No charisma, bravery, or agenda—just lots of money to buy an election.

But lifeless Democrat DelBene could beat John Koster, who—like other Republicans—couldn't win a majority for his party. Koster only mustered 43 percent of the vote with no GOP challengers.

 

Comments (22) RSS

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Geocrackr 1
So CD1 now has two republicans to choose from, is what you're saying... that doesn't sound like an ass-kicking to me.
Posted by Geocrackr on August 8, 2012 at 9:38 AM
Dominic Holden 2
@1) DelBene is a Democrat. And Democrats collectively took 54 percent of the vote in that race.
Posted by Dominic Holden on August 8, 2012 at 9:43 AM
Soupytwist 3
In other news, that Deja Vu ad makes me sad. "It's All About You" - that's not selling sexy, that's selling loneliness.
Posted by Soupytwist http://twitter.com/katherinesmith on August 8, 2012 at 9:59 AM
michaelp 4
Re: The Governor and AG race -

Clearly, Washingtonians like manly jocks in the Gov's mansion, and skinny nerds in the AG's office.

Great night.
Posted by michaelp on August 8, 2012 at 10:00 AM
5
Primary or not, I'm not sure I understand why Ferguson isn't AG-elect, since he got more than 50% of the vote.
Posted by seatackled on August 8, 2012 at 10:04 AM
gloomy gus 6
Much like Churchill once said of democracy, it seems DelBene is the worst Democratic candidate except for all the others.

And until your caption I never pondered whether an elephant might vomit violently enough to spew from its trunk rather than its mouth. Thanks!
Posted by gloomy gus on August 8, 2012 at 10:06 AM
7
I got to disagree on DelBene that she has no agenda, bravery, or charisma. She seems good on all those fronts based on my view of the primary season. I like her chances in the general.
(And yes she was my candidate in the primary)
Posted by Democrat1234 on August 8, 2012 at 10:10 AM
Original Andrew 8
Greatest headline evah
Posted by Original Andrew on August 8, 2012 at 10:12 AM
9
Here's hoping all of this bodes well for marriage equality.
Posted by Subdued Excitement on August 8, 2012 at 10:25 AM
10
You're surprised that Democrats once again dominated in Lefty Washington? Tell me you're a newcomer, not an amateur.
Posted by menace2society on August 8, 2012 at 10:26 AM
Original Andrew 11
I'm pleasantly surprised, especially since the traditional media has totally ignored Inslee and already proclaimed McKenna governor six months ago.

Noted lazy @$$#01* Reagan Dunn's drubbing is especially gratifying. Go Bob Ferguson!

At this rate, the Seattle Slimes will be about as relevant as right-wing, alternate universe fan fic by December.
Posted by Original Andrew on August 8, 2012 at 10:37 AM
Aaron 12
Ah, no, Suzan DelBene is not the "worst" sort of candidate, that would be John Koster. Suzan DelBene is correct on a majority of issues.
Posted by Aaron on August 8, 2012 at 10:47 AM
Sean Kinney 13
Those who criticize candidates who self-fund vs. those who are funded by (primarily) a handful of big donors (individuals and PACS), should explain what their expectations are in regards to their voting behavior in office.

U.S. Representatives are by are large already wealthy (U.S. Senators very much so).
Posted by Sean Kinney http:// on August 8, 2012 at 12:02 PM
14

Economic Conservatives don't need Republicans to win, we have the Democrats on our side too….or did any Dems win yesterday who are advocating a state income tax?
Posted by Sugartit on August 8, 2012 at 12:03 PM
15
@10 (menace2society): What is this "Lefty" Washington of which you speak? Is it the one that leans "liberal" by a couple/few percentage points on social issues that don't cost the wealthy any real money?
Posted by PCM on August 8, 2012 at 12:16 PM
16
@34 he's talking about the 34% of lefties who support a state income tax and opposed the 2/3 majority rule. What everyone else refers to as 'Fremont'.
Posted by Sugartit on August 8, 2012 at 12:24 PM
Pope Peabrain 17
Teabaggers take notice. We aren't going to fall for their hate and ignorance agenda here. Yes!
Posted by Pope Peabrain on August 8, 2012 at 12:33 PM
18
@17 You're also not going to raise state taxes so feel free to bugger yourselves silly.
Posted by Sugartit on August 8, 2012 at 12:40 PM
alejo699 19
@15 -- What they really mean is "lefty King County" -- the rest of the state is pretty red but has less population and lots less money.
Posted by alejo699 on August 8, 2012 at 1:00 PM
20
Btw the left didn't win yesterday. The center did.

Btw lefty king county soundly rejected I-1098.
Posted by Occupy a Job losers on August 8, 2012 at 1:09 PM
21
Anyone know when the next drop of ballots is schedule to post? If Inslee is up by nearly 4 points after the first night what'll it be by the time all the ballots are counted? I'm guessing 6.5%.
Posted by I Got Nuthin' on August 8, 2012 at 4:12 PM
Some Old Nobodaddy Logged In 22
Ya wanna explain Brad Owen, then? Sure, he's a Dem, just like Jabba the Hut is a lonely bachelor.
Posted by Some Old Nobodaddy Logged In on August 8, 2012 at 4:43 PM

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