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Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Romney Wins Two States, Santorum Wields a Rock

Posted by on Tue, Feb 28, 2012 at 8:27 PM

Wow! What a night. How crazy a night was it? Let me tell you: Rick Santorum's piece of shale is already on Twitter.

A few random questions:

When will it be okay for the media to completely ignore Ron Paul? He hasn't won a state yet, and he came in a distant third place in Michigan and an even more distant fourth place in Arizona. Ron Paul's supporters continue to whine about their man's lack of coverage, but he's arguably a less-influential candidate than Newt fucking Gingrich at this point.

Speaking of Gingrich: Is it possible that the Gingrich campaign could come back to life for a fifth (or sixth—I lose track at this point) time? Santorum was so erratic over the last few weeks that voters could be shopping for another not-Romney, and there's frankly not a whole lot of product left on the shelves.

When will the Romney campaign realize that they need some sort of a message beyond harping on Obama's failures? People don't elect candidates who can only identify themselves by what they are not. (In retrospect, Barack Obama actually spent a relatively small amount of time making a case against George W. Bush in 2008; though Republicans kept hitting him for running an insubstantial campaign, he very clearly defined what he stood for and what he would do when he got in office.) Romney is entirely reactionary. Between now and the Republican convention, he's going to need to explain what he's all about to voters, and it would help if he started doing that now.

Can Santorum keep on-message? I thought he did a decent job with his speech tonight, although his argument that America didn't need "the smart and the elite of this country to manage us" smacked of more anti-intellectualism. Most voters don't feel comfortable with candidates arguing against colleges, or talking about puking, for that matter. If Santorum stays away from the social issues and sticks to the economy, he can probably beat Romney at his own game, because he talks about being poor in a way that voters can believe. But when he starts obsessing over other peoples' pants, he looks like a freak. Which way will he go? If Santorum can hold onto his lead in Ohio through next Tuesday, the race is still contestable. But if Romney wins Ohio, even if he doesn't win a single southern state outside of Virginia, the contest is basically over. I don't think Santorum will drop out anytime soon, but Ohio is his last chance to make any headway in the electability battle, which, at this point in the game, is the only issue that matters for Republicans.

 

Comments (17) RSS

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Fnarf 19
@8, no, you're missing the point. Many of those Gingrich and Santorum delegates are actually Paul's. The way it works is, in caucus states, after everybody votes, they go home, thereby missing out on the delegate-selection part of the process. Paul supporters stay, and game the system to get the position. Republicans don't bind their delegates, so just because Gingrich won X percent of them, if the actual seat is taken by a Paul supporter, at the convention the vote will go to Paul. Voters be damned. That's what I meant by "cheating".

Published delegate counts don't reflect this; they still count some of the Paul-committed delegates as belonging to the candidate who won them.

Whether the strategy works or not is an open question. Paul's not going to win the nomination, but he can screw up the process. I think he's going to end up throwing the thing to Romney in the end, if Romney can't win it outright, by stealing delegates that by rights should be Ricky's or Newty's.
Posted by Fnarf http://www.facebook.com/fnarf on February 29, 2012 at 8:28 AM · Report this
Aurora Erratic 18
What was the pants thing?
Posted by Aurora Erratic http://www.finemesspottery.com on February 29, 2012 at 7:00 AM · Report this
16
Santorum speaks as only a upper class guy who was trying to be one of the working class would.

We're all in this together! School sucks!

The thing is...no one wants to be in the working class. The goal is to get out of it...by sending your kids to college.

Some guy who has 3 degrees doesn't seem on the level (BA in political science, no less, plus an MBA and a JD). "Hey, guys, I got a j.d....yeah, just like when you stole those hubcaps in middle school...neat, huh? Gotta cig?"
Posted by Supreme Ruler Of The Universe http://_ on February 28, 2012 at 11:38 PM · Report this
venomlash 15
@3: Fresh Prince, Bel-Air.
Posted by venomlash on February 28, 2012 at 10:57 PM · Report this
Reverse Polarity 14
WIS @12, of course Americans are THAT stupid. They elected W not once but twice. There seems to be no limit to the stupid.
Posted by Reverse Polarity on February 28, 2012 at 10:45 PM · Report this
Reverse Polarity 13
Damn. I was kinda hoping that Santorum would win Michigan, just to watch republicans go all ape shit on each other. This return to bland Willard is boring.
Posted by Reverse Polarity on February 28, 2012 at 10:44 PM · Report this
Will in Seattle 12
CNN is going out of its way not to talk about Ron Paul, even though their fancy delegate projections show him having an easier time of being 2nd place than Comrade Newt.

Seriously, do you think Americans are THAT stupid?
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on February 28, 2012 at 10:40 PM · Report this
Masi 11
This hurts my brain.
Posted by Masi on February 28, 2012 at 10:19 PM · Report this
10
You mean Rock Santorum, right?
Posted by ahhhri on February 28, 2012 at 9:51 PM · Report this
8
@7 Second to last in delegates, right above Huntsman
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primar…

Paul keeps saying he is first in delegates, but he is either lying or using some funny math. Probably lying.
Posted by giffy on February 28, 2012 at 9:43 PM · Report this
Fnarf 7
Paul's still second in delegates, right? He's cheating, but cheating is allowed in this game.
Posted by Fnarf http://www.facebook.com/fnarf on February 28, 2012 at 9:34 PM · Report this
sirkowski 6
@1 They complained the media was ignoring Ron Paul.
Then they complained when the media talked about Ron Paul.
Now they're complaining the media is ignoring Ron Paul, having already forgotten what happened a few weeks ago.
Posted by sirkowski http://www.missdynamite.com on February 28, 2012 at 9:32 PM · Report this
5
@3 - where do I get that tin-foil hat?
Posted by Up all night on February 28, 2012 at 9:14 PM · Report this
Baconcat 4
@2: Game changer!!!
Posted by Baconcat on February 28, 2012 at 9:07 PM · Report this
Lord Basil 3
Romney is a Marxist Fascist. If the GOP and America are to be saved from the tyranny of the Democrat Party and the Kenyan Marxist homosexual, American patriots must say no to Romney. Otherwise Obama will win, and a civil war won't be far behind.
Posted by Lord Basil http://lordbasil.blogspot.com/ on February 28, 2012 at 9:04 PM · Report this
Pmasp 2
Paul won Maine
Posted by Pmasp on February 28, 2012 at 8:54 PM · Report this
1
The stupidest thing, out of many stupid things, that Ron Paul's cult members believed was that more media attention would help Ron Paul the candidate vs. Ron Paul the business.

Ron Paul is not running for president, he is doing what he has always done and that is make money off of the disaffected be they racists or college students who are dumb enough to think Ayn Rand wrote anything but fiction.
Posted by giffy on February 28, 2012 at 8:49 PM · Report this

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