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Thursday, February 16, 2012

Even Reagan Was a Keynesian. Sorta.

Posted by on Thu, Feb 16, 2012 at 9:03 AM

As I pointed out yesterday, Europe, which has chosen a program of economic austerity as its path out of the Great Recession, saw its economic growth stall last year, and even contract during the fourth quarter, whereas the US, which has chosen a path of mild economic stimulus, is seeing its economy grow. In fact, there was more good news today, with weekly new jobless claims hitting the lowest mark in four years.

So what of our ballooning deficit? Will the Europeans, having taken their medicine, ultimately laugh all the way to the bank as the US economy collapses under the weight of our debt? That's what the Republicans argue as they push their agenda of dramatic spending cuts. But before adopting the austerity program that is currently strangling the economies of Europe, Republicans might want to look back to the economic policies of their patron saint, Ronald Reagan, for a glimpse of the virtues of priming the pump.

When Reagan proposed dramatically slashing taxes during the 1980 presidential campaign, particularly on businesses and high-earners, Democrats and many economists howled. But while Dems argued that his plan would slash revenue and balloon deficits, Reagan and his economic advisers responded not to worry—lower taxes would stimulate the economy, producing even higher revenues. In effect, we would outgrow the deficit.

George H.W. Bush dubbed it "Voodoo Economics" before later defending it as Reagan's VP.

So how'd it work? Republicans insist swimmingly. In fact, the budget was ultimately balanced and briefly moved into surplus during the Clinton administration, a period of economic bliss Republicans like to claim was entirely due to the hard work and vision of St. Ronald.

Whatever. Credit who you want. The point is, implicit in the cult-worship of Reagan and his economic policies is the acknowledgement that one can prime the pump through deficit spending enough to eventually outgrow the accumulated debt. So... if deficit-causing tax cuts can stimulate the economy, why not deficit-causing spending? And as long as interest rates and inflation remain low, how is Obama's stimulus agenda really any different than Reagan's, when it comes to pumping money into the economy at the expense of the budget?

Whether government spending or tax cuts is a more efficient stimulus tool is another discussion (although I think the stronger argument is for the former). Either way, economic growth cures all. And it's hard to see how one can possibly achieve short term economic growth through the European-style austerity programs the Republicans advocate.

 

Comments (12) RSS

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SpecialBrew 1
Yes, I feel like the 2 rules for studying President Reagan should be:

1) Take with a bucket of salt anything Democrats said about him DURING his presidency.

2) Take with a bucket of salt anything Republicans have said about him AFTER his presidency.
Posted by SpecialBrew on February 16, 2012 at 9:13 AM
2
We really should start calling it The European Plan. The Republicans will love that.
Posted by David Nixon on February 16, 2012 at 9:32 AM
3
The only problem with the European vs US approach to the economic downturn is the fact that the social safety net and human services programs in place in Europe is so much bigger than what is available here. So while their cuts have been severe to them, if we had what they still have, it would seem overly generous. It's difficult to compare our minor increases with their cutbacks.
Posted by TJ on February 16, 2012 at 9:49 AM
Supreme Ruler Of The Universe 4

Eurocrats will party until someone calls them on their overvalued currency.
Posted by Supreme Ruler Of The Universe http://www.you-read-it-here-first.com on February 16, 2012 at 9:52 AM
Max Solomon 5
Reagan's deficit spending worked to briefly balance the budget TWELVE YEARS LATER?
Posted by Max Solomon on February 16, 2012 at 10:00 AM
zombie eyes 6
Time spent on rational, cogent argumentation against today's conservatives would be better spent whacking moles in your front lawn.
Posted by zombie eyes on February 16, 2012 at 10:08 AM
Mike Force 7
Targeted austerity while still spending on jobs seems to be a balanced approach that is currently working here. The Greeks got what they deserved. They had a cultural proclivity to over-borrow.
Posted by Mike Force http://www.autotone.net on February 16, 2012 at 10:38 AM
8
Keynes considered tax cuts to be government-induced stimulus. So when repubs say they are not Keynesians they are not being truthful.
Posted by ejamadoodle on February 16, 2012 at 11:14 AM
Fnarf 9
@5, yes, this is exactly the Republican position.

You should read what Bruce Bartlett, one of the architects of Reaganomics, and author of several influential supply-side economics books, has to say about today's Republicans:

http://occupyamerica.crooksandliars.com/…
Posted by Fnarf http://www.facebook.com/fnarf on February 16, 2012 at 11:17 AM
10
The Republicans want austerity AND more tax cuts. They're Keynesians all right; Keynesians who exclusively advocate for the wealthy.
Posted by keshmeshi on February 16, 2012 at 11:20 AM
Teslick 11
Don't forget the effect of the massive runup in defense spending during those years.
Posted by Teslick on February 16, 2012 at 1:08 PM
12
"if deficit-causing tax cuts can stimulate the economy, why not deficit-causing spending?"

Is that a real question? Probably because tax cut money gets used much more productively rather than on a bunch of nonsense make-work projects?
Posted by Reader01 on February 16, 2012 at 6:17 PM

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