Holy shit. Everybody knew Rick Santorum was going to have a good night, but nobody thought he was going to have that good a night. While Romney still leads with delegates, Rick Santorum has now won four states to Romney's three. You could make a case for him as the Republican frontrunner. There are a lot of questions remaining, but the most important one is this: Is Santorum's strength due to Gingrich's collapse as a candidate? If so, this is a highly competitive two-man race from here on out. And as much as I love seeing Romney depressed and defeated, the idea of Santorum making it to the Republican nomination is totally fucking frightening. Though I have no doubt that Obama could mop the floor with Santorum in a fair fight, we'd be one economic collapse away from President Santorum, and that's something I don't even want to begin to consider, even as a joke.
And now the second-guessing is going to begin: Can Romney win the nomination? Do Republicans like him enough? These three states are going to be competitive in November, and he lost them in a pretty spectacular manner. He lost every single county in Missouri, and as of right now, he hasn't won a single county in Minnesota, either. Hell, he came in third after Ron Paul in Minnesota. He only won counties where voter attendance was way down from 2008; every time Republicans cared enough to come to the polls, someone else won. We knew he was a weak candidate, but it turns out, he might not even be strong enough to seize the Republican nomination he bought years ago.
Maine, Arizona and Michigan are up next; Romney's probably got Michigan and Maine in the bag, but he's got a hell of a lot more of a struggle now in Arizona, and Super Tuesday is going to be downright difficult. Santorum won these three states because he campaigned hard, passing over Florida and Nevada to build up a base by retail politicking. Will he be able to turn his regional campaigning technique into something with a more national scope? He sure wasn't able to after Iowa; maybe now, if he manages to convince enough of those Gingrich donors to jump ship, he'll be able to try to stop Romney on a grander scale. I have really never seen anything quite like this Republican nomination fight of 2012; it's a beautiful clusterfuck of a thing, and it just won't die, no matter how many times you smack it in the head with a shovel.
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