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Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Election Night Review: The Left Blew the Supreme Court Race, Readers Blew the State's Website, the SECB Blew a Walrus Cock, and Fear of a GOP Sweep in November

Posted by on Wed, Aug 18, 2010 at 12:16 PM

The Biggest Losers

No contest, the biggest loss last night was for Stan Rumbaugh, the former Planned Parenthood board member who was asking voters to put him on the state Supreme Court. He lost with—about half the ballots in—an anemic 37 percent of the vote. More results from Secretary of State's office will be tallied throughout the week and announced each day at 4:30 p.m. But while we'd love to say that Rumbaugh (who the SECB found to be adorable last night) can pull through, the math is against him. Upon seeing the initial returns last night, Rumbaugh told the SECB, "Well, that's not very encouraging." This race won't proceed to the general—conservative tool and anti-gay bigot Jim Johnson wins another term on the bench.

So where did progressives, who were pushing hard for Rumbaugh, fall down? Some say it was picking a candidate with a background that turned off moderates (like all that abortiony stuff), others say that Johnson had the advantage of incumbency and the name recognition that comes with it, and others still argue that Johnson held newspaper endorsements and an internet history that simply appealed to voters surfing the web. We'll have a more detailed piece later today on the Rumbaugh loss.

As for the Tea-Party darling/man-in-tights Clint Didier, what is there to say? When the polls say you're going to get a lousy 10 percent in the primary for Senate and then, lo and behold, you get 10 percent in the primary—blaming it on an election conspiracy looks just plain crazy. But we brought home a moose head from the party (photo). Most striking decor: Signs that say, "Pork Patty," depicting incumbent Senator Patty Murray as a drooling sow in a hamburger:

didier_sign.jpg

Meanwhile, this means Republican Dino Rossi will challenge Democratic incumbent Patty Murray in the general election. This isn't news—we've all known this was the race for approximately 300 years—but now it's official. Currently, Murray has 46 percent of the vote compared to Rossi's 34 percent, but that lead will narrow. Once GOP fringe candidates like Didier and Paul Akers supporters gravitate to Rossi in the general (if they do roll Rossi's way), then the race gets much, much closer. Let the horse pig race begin.

The Walrus Penis in Justice Richard Sanders's house is also a big loser—because it's dead now. "There’s very few mammals that have a bone in their penis," the incumbent justice's girlfriend told the SECB while holding a Bud Light in the living room their GIANT house in Fremont. "Walruses are one of those animals." The anti-gay Sanders, who compares homosexuality to polygamy but keeps hard walrus cocks around in the living room, was in the lead last night and will face Charlie Wiggins in the general election.

1282104713-sandersgf.jpg

Last, the Secretary of State's office's website crashed from a a flood of people checking the election results (who could have predicted?! on election night!!). “The servers that receive and display county election results are simply overwhelmed,” Shane Hamlin, assistant state elections director, said in a panicky statement released last night. “Our entire technical team is working with experts from Microsoft to identify a programming error and to make the necessary fixes.” The servers are now up and running.

The Biggest Winners

The biggest winner last night was Joe Fitzgibbon. Coming in just a hair behind Mike Heavey in the race to represent the 34th District, Fitzgibbon is in a strong position to win the general election. The demographic in the general will be much younger last night's primary, points out Thomas Goldstein, director of Washington Bus, which pushes youth voting and campaigned hard for Fitzgibbon. Plus, only half of the ballots for King County have been tallied—and late returns could sway to a younger demographic that prefers the progressive, 23-year-old Fitzgibbon. "My personal prediction is that by the end of the day today, Joe will be number one in that seat," Goldstein says. Ivan Weiss, former Democratic party chair of the 34th District, took the opportunity last night to slam Heavey, saying, "Heavey has no field. We have all the field. Heavey has nothing."

As for Heavey, he was cowering in a bunker, afraid to face the public. Meanwhile, challenger Marcee Stone, despite gathered a paltry 15 percent of the vote, told supporters at the Elliott Bay Brewery Pub that she isn't conceding. "The numbers aren't looking good right now, but we are not giving up," she said. Uh... okay.

Meanwhile, Joe McDermott (currently state senator for the 34th district and confirmed homosexual) looks assured a seat on the King County Council by next year. He took 59 percent of the vote while his closest challenger, Diana Toledo, had only 20 percent of the vote.

Republican Congressman Dave Reichert representing the state's 8th District also, we hate to say it, looks like a winner. He got 48 percent of the vote last night, compared to Democrat Suzan DelBene's 26 percent (who put on a happy face anyway). It was a crowded race with members of both parties, but Republican candidates (Reichert and two others) took 58 percent of the vote together. If that support coalesce around Reichert in the general (which seems likely) he's in a good position to win another term in the House.

Meanwhile, Ross Hunter, representing the 48th District, came out on top. As did a slew of Seattle legislators who drew no serious challengers. Election results for all statewide races are here, and King County results are here.

The Big Unknown

In the general election, Republicans may be in a strong position to grab a lot of swing districts in the state legislature. Of particular concern, places like suburban Seattle. In the 45th District, two-term incumbent and Democrat Roger Goodman is trailing his Republican opponent, as is Democrat Eric Oemig, who is running for the other representative seat in that district. Among political circles there's a fear that Democrats will have lose control of the state senate come January.

 

Comments (20) RSS

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Garfield 1
Rumbaugh lost because of lack of name recognition. Pure & simple as that.
Posted by Garfield on August 18, 2010 at 12:23 PM
aardvark 2
garbage pail kids elections
Posted by aardvark on August 18, 2010 at 12:37 PM
Will in Seattle 3
Stan should have changed his name.

I'd recommend Stan Smith next time.

Most of the Seattle races had 80 to 100 percent for Dems. We just didn't turn out to vote in any numbers, because most voters feel that anything we say at the polls - like Don't Build The Billionaires' Tunnel - gets ignored and then the tax-subsidized suburbs and rural areas try to force us to build it and pay for something we didn't want anyway.

Want to see good statewide and countywide numbers for Dems? Get the Gov to kill the Billionaires Tunnel and stop jerking Seattle Citizens around. Until that happens, the statewide and countywide implications are not great.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on August 18, 2010 at 12:45 PM
Andrew Cole 4
Whatcom County skewed Republican, too. Democratic incumbent Kelli Link is trailing her Republican challenger Vincent Buys by 577 votes, Republicans Jason Overstreet and Doug Ericksen dominated their races, and (as in every other county in the state) Rumbaugh lost to Johnson. Patty Murray did well, though, so that's something.
Posted by Andrew Cole on August 18, 2010 at 12:55 PM
StillNon 5
1: I'd venture to say that Rumbaugh lost because of lack of name recognition too. And in the absence of positive name recognition, there was definitely some psychologically negative implicit name recognition going on.

(Rumbaugh? Rush Limbaugh? That's the Democrat version of Hussein.)

Posted by StillNon on August 18, 2010 at 1:01 PM
6
So let me get this straight. 967,642 people turned in ballots, but only 735,095 voted on the Rumaugh/Johnson race.

461,947 people voted for Dino Rossi, Clint Didier or Paul Akers. 462,244 voted for Johnson.

440,119 people voted for Patty Murray. Only 272,851 voted for Rumbaugh.

I had no idea my fellow liberals led such busy lives that they couldn't be bothered to fill in one more god damned circle.
Posted by digitalwitch on August 18, 2010 at 1:07 PM
blip 7
i initially read the "pork" in "pork patty" as a verb, but i guess he actually means she's a pig who should be cooked and served on a kaiser roll. classy.
Posted by blip on August 18, 2010 at 1:13 PM
StillNon 8
Interesting stats, 6, but your cattiness towards your fellow Liberals is uncalled for.

Eli Sanders' piece on this sheds some light on why many might skip these races:

Washington is one of 23 states that require voters to choose their supreme court justices. You'd think that would mean that voters here pay extremely close attention to whom they pick for the state's highest court. But most voters know very little about our supreme court and even less about the candidates running for it. Compounding the problem: Judicial races here are nonpartisan—meaning there's no helpful "Democrat" or "Republican" next to the candidates' names.


http://www.thestranger.com/seattle/vote-…
Posted by StillNon on August 18, 2010 at 1:14 PM
michaelp 9
Stan Rumbaugh ran a terrible campaign, plain and simple. Wiggins ran a much better campaign, and as such, has a chance in the General. Perhaps he needs some penis artwork, as well?

Those Eastside races, though, are of major concern. I mean, Simpson and Kauffman are out, but if Seattleites really give a shit about progressive issues, they'll get their asses over there and phone bank and doorbell for Randy Gordon and Dreamy Eric Oemig. Losing the State Senate would be bad bad bad, and those two are the most progressive of the three that are in any danger. They are good folks, great on policy, and it is in our own self-interest to keep them in Olympia.
Posted by michaelp on August 18, 2010 at 1:58 PM
Will in Seattle 10
@6 actually, they all voted for me for PCO, so I'm happy.

As to Seattleites helping the Eastside, why bother? If the County and the State are going to try to force us to pay for more of the suburbs inefficienies with our efficient tax dollars from Seattle, don't count on it. Until they get the Tunnel killed, the voting mood in Seattle won't change - no matter what people on Capitol Hill say.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on August 18, 2010 at 2:21 PM
Thomas Guy 11
Why didn't the left run someone named Jim Johnson? It would have confused the dumbshit Teabaggers AND it would have assured that this race would be on the ballot in November! HUH?
Posted by Thomas Guy on August 18, 2010 at 2:32 PM
Thomas Guy 12
Clarification to my above comment. The primary decided the race because there were only two candidates. So if a third candidate had been on the ballot--Mike the Mover or your average "Jim Johnson"--this race would be decided in Nov., not Aug.
Posted by Thomas Guy on August 18, 2010 at 2:34 PM
michaelp 13
@10

That is the worst attitude possible. I suppose if you want the Democrats to be in the minority, it makes sense - all Seattle's way, or no way at all - but reality is a different beast. And the best way to have constructive conversations, to hash out deals, is to not only help ensure that good progressive Democrats are elected (which, contrary to your know-all belief, there are good progressives on the Eastside), but to also have those conversations with the voters.

I suppose for the good of Seattle, it's best if you stay home, Will, but going East is the best way possible to improve Olympia's posture towards our City.
Posted by michaelp on August 18, 2010 at 3:04 PM
Will in Seattle 14
@12 good strategery - we need to run a ringer next time.

@13 it was true in the 80s, it was true in the 90s, it was true in the Aughties, and it's true today. Wishing won't change the basic fact that Seattle voters are ALL that matters and when we sit on our hands, Republicants take over. The more the State and the County dis us, the worse it gets. The reasons don't matter - it's how people feel on the ground - and the Hill is just a very small fraction of Seattle, and most of that Seattle is royally pissed at the Tunnel and other things perceived as the State and County shitting all over us.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on August 18, 2010 at 3:08 PM
Will in Seattle 15
I'll pit my prediction record against yours any day. By now you know I'm very good at this, M.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on August 18, 2010 at 3:09 PM
michaelp 16
You know what, you do what you want to do to hurt the Party you claim to represent, and allege to volunteer for and look out for the interests of. I'll continue to focus on helping get Democrats elected - the primary purpose of what we do.
Posted by michaelp on August 18, 2010 at 3:12 PM
17
#5 has a point about a lack of positive name recognition/ the name being a wee bit too close to that of a fundementalist whackjob. I read Rumbaugh, and for some reason, my brain went right to 'Rush Limbaugh' and then "wait. wut?"
Posted by KatTheCanuckistan http://soundmusing.blogspot.com/ on August 18, 2010 at 3:13 PM
Misha Vargas 18
Guys, there's a larger issue here.

The baculum, or penis bone, is actually quite common, and is found in most mammals, including our closest relatives, the chimpanzees and gorillas. Sanders' girlfriend is either ignorant . . . or, and this seems likely, deceiving us.

The only question is, why is she lying to us about this penis bone? Who is she lying for? What's she trying to hide? Is it a mere coincidence that this is occurring so shortly before 2012, the final year of the Mayan calander...?

Follow the penis bones people, follow the penis bones.
Posted by Misha Vargas http://www.youtube.com/MishaVargas on August 18, 2010 at 6:07 PM
19
@8: So we elect our judges and most places don't. So what? If you want to work to change that, great, more power to you, but in the meantime these elections still matter. You can't just ignore them and hope they go away.

And really? The nonpartisan thing? God forbid people have to actually read a candidate's statement to figure out if they should vote for them. The R's seemed to be able to figure it out. Why can't we?

If I sound bitter and angry, it's because I am. What can I say? Voter apathy ticks me off.
Posted by digitalwitch on August 18, 2010 at 6:25 PM
michaelp 20
@18 - which girlfriend?
Posted by michaelp on August 18, 2010 at 11:18 PM

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