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Thursday, November 5, 2009

What's the Recount Rule?

Posted by on Thu, Nov 5, 2009 at 4:55 PM

King County Elections thought you might be wondering that right about now. According to state law, and via spokesperson Megan Coppersmith:

Machine recounts — A machine recount is required for an office or a state measure if the difference between the top two candidates or between approval and rejection of a measure is less than 2,000 AND also less than one half of one percent of the total votes cast for the candidates or the measure.

Manual recounts — A manual recount is required for a race if the difference is less than 150 votes AND also less than one quarter of one percent. There is no provision in state law for a mandatory manual recount for state measures — only a provision for a machine recount as stated above.

As of today's tally, we're in machine recount territory.

But today's tally is far from final. The total number of ballots that King County Elections has yet to count? 138,000, plus any stragglers still not delivered by the U.S. Postal service.

 

Comments (14) RSS

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Gordon Werner 1
so the machine recount is automatic if the requirements are met? or do the candidates still have to request it? i.e. if Mallahan concedes ... does the count still happen?
Posted by Gordon Werner on November 5, 2009 at 4:59 PM
2
Mallahan is the new Dino Rossi.
Posted by mammal on November 5, 2009 at 5:01 PM
Eli Sanders 3
"Required by state law," according to Coppersmith.
Posted by Eli Sanders http://elisanders.net/ on November 5, 2009 at 5:01 PM
Will in Seattle 4
those are projected returns - wait for the Friday number estimations.

You can pay for a recount in the 0.5
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on November 5, 2009 at 5:06 PM
Will in Seattle 5
hmm truncated let's try that again:

You can pay for a recount in the 0.5 < x < 1.0 range. However, doing so is too much of a Dino and will cause backlash effects on the Gov and certain others. Figure a grey area in the 0.5 < x < 0.75 range - stinks slightly but not too much..

Did that work?
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on November 5, 2009 at 5:09 PM
6
Joe Mallahan and his supporters invested too much money for them to walk away without a huge return on investment. There's no way they won't demand/buy a recount if they can.
Posted by mallahan bought seattle fair and square on November 5, 2009 at 5:24 PM
7
...in other news, teh gays won! officially. cause the AP is never wrong.
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/U…
Posted by miked on November 5, 2009 at 5:31 PM
8
Eli - where do you see that there are 138,000 votes yet to count?

I see 13,800 on the website: http://vote.wa.gov/Elections/WEI/VoterTu…
Posted by Mr John on November 5, 2009 at 5:36 PM
w7ngman 9
What purpose does the "2000 vote difference" part of the rule serve? Machine counting errors would be at some given rate, ie a percentage of ballots counted would be counted in error, and by extension the possible number of vote reversals in a recount is a function of that rate.

If enough ballots are counted (400000), however, the vote difference could be less than %0.5 while still being more than 2000, NOT triggering a recount, when in fact the number of ballots possibly reversed in that recount could be well over 2000 since that number is based on the inherent error rate of the counting machines, not some seemingly random constant number.

Right?

(I'm glossing over the fact that a machine recount is just stupid unless they use different machines, improve the machines' error rate for the recount, or change the counting procedure in some other way. Anyone know?)
Posted by w7ngman http://userscripts.org/users/89370 on November 5, 2009 at 5:41 PM
10
#8: Typo on the WA website I'm sure...

137,025 Seattle ballots counted
164,113 Seattle ballots received so far
Posted by http://your.kingcounty.gov/elections/abstats/ on November 5, 2009 at 5:44 PM
Will in Seattle 11
@9 - mail-in ballots use optical readers so it's possible to have mechanical error. However, electronic votes, as we all know are way easier to hack.

Stats on uncounted are actually only final at 8pm so check again later.
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on November 5, 2009 at 5:58 PM
12
fyi: I mailed my ballot tuesday (from Seattle) and just this afternoon it is marked as "recevied" by the county (this morning they hadn't gotten it yet).

So I'd guess that they should have all the Seattle ballots (that were mailed in Seattle) by tomorrow at the lastest. That should give us a better expected number of ballots.
Posted by slugbiker http://www.bicyclewatchdog.org on November 5, 2009 at 6:28 PM
13
Well I put my ballot in a drop box on Tuesday afternoon and it has still not been logged in yet.
Posted by gnossos on November 5, 2009 at 6:45 PM
Will in Seattle 14
The drop box that they didn't pick up from until after it was vandalized?
Posted by Will in Seattle http://www.facebook.com/WillSeattle on November 6, 2009 at 11:01 AM

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