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Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Your Morning Iran Update

Posted by on Wed, Jun 17, 2009 at 9:39 AM

1. Now part of Iran's military complex—at least the wing most loyal to Khameni—is backing media restrictions:

Iran’s most powerful military force is warning online media of a crackdown over their coverage of the country’s election crisis. The Revolutionary Guards, an elite body answering to the supreme leader, says Iranian Web sites and bloggers must remove any materials that “create tension” or face legal action.

2. Attempted vehicular homicide in Isfahan (pop 3.4 million), from the NYT:

At one point, a white S.U.V. with a red ambulance-style light raced up behind a knot of protesters and smashed into them, running one over before racing a few blocks to the protection of the riot police. Bands of Basiji, the authorized plainclothes vigilantes riding motorbikes and wielding long truncheons, were let loose by the hundreds to sow fear far afield from the actual unrest. Many wore the green headbands of the opposition — possibly to camouflage, or to confuse.

3. Despite Obama's reticence, Iran has still accused the U.S. of "interference" and at least on prosecutor has accused demonstrators of treason and threatened them with the death penalty:

“We warn the few elements controlled by foreigners who try to disrupt domestic security by inciting individuals to destroy and to commit arson that the Islamic penal code for such individuals waging war against God is execution."

4. Iranian soccer players at a World Cup Asian qualifying match in Korea wore green wristbands—the game, of course, was broadcast on state TV:

5627/1245255912-image5093333x.jpg

The wristbands disappeared at halftime.

5. Fisk reports an instance of soldiers protecting demonstrators from the basij:

It was interesting that the special forces - who normally take the side of Ahmadinejad's Basij militia - were there with clubs and sticks in their camouflage trousers and their purity white shirts and on this occasion the Iranian military kept them away from Mousavi's men and women.

In fact at one point, Mousavi's supporters were shouting 'thank you, thank you' to the soldiers.

One woman went up to the special forces men, who normally are very brutal with Mr Mousavi's supporters, and said 'can you protect us from the Basij?' He said 'with God's help'.

6. Are the demonstrations working? Are they convincing Khameni's peers to strip his power? From The Lede this morning:

A Twitter feed apparently coming from inside Iran mentions an as yet unconfirmed rumor that Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, a senior cleric and former president who supports Mir Hussein Moussavi, has called for an emergency meeting of an Iranian clerical body that has the power to pick a new Supreme Leader.

If these demonstrations succeed in bringing an unjust and repressive Middle Eastern government to heel, the people of Iran will have achieved what many presidents, prime ministers, think tanks, seminars, summits, several wars, and hundreds of millions of dollars could not.

The people of Iran will have turned the corner on what has been thought of, for decades, as an insoluble problem: How to make fair and free elections matter—really matter—in the Middle East.

Also exciting: The green revolution appears to be a movement for everybody. It's a movement for women's rights, gay rights, free speech, religious tolerance, anti-anti-Semitism, clear-headedness, transparency, and basic fucking human decency.

If the repressive, abusive power structure of Iran is fundamentally altered for the better, the entire Middle East is fundamentally altered for the better.

 

Comments (14) RSS

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Carollani 1
This is so exciting. I can't wait to see what happens next; could this be real change for Iran?
Posted by Carollani http://twitter.com/carollani on June 17, 2009 at 9:47 AM
2
No, they aren't going to work. Khameni and his puppets own that joint like China owns their people. This mini-revolt will be crushed like bugs, and no amount of tweets, proxies and blog posts will stop it.
Posted by Gomez http://misterstevengomez.com on June 17, 2009 at 9:48 AM
kim in portland 3
Thanks for posting this.
Posted by kim in portland http://www.oregonlive.com/portland/index.ssf/2010/11/fast-paced_video_provides_a_fu.html on June 17, 2009 at 9:48 AM
Fnarf 4
A lot of the "militia" aren't even real Baseej, or even Iranians at all. They're hired thugs brought in from Lebanon or Syria, Hezbollah. They don't even speak Farsi (the national language of Iran); they speak Arabic. More evidence that this is not really a stolen election but more like a coup.
Posted by Fnarf http://www.facebook.com/fnarf on June 17, 2009 at 10:01 AM
5
Note that the Revolutionary Guard and the military are *very* different institutions. Your post says the "military" whereas the article says "Revolutionary Guard". The latter is more for internal and border security (hence the importance that they are backing the Ayatollah). The army would not involve themselves in internal politics. Iran's politics is very complicated.
Posted by govind on June 17, 2009 at 10:04 AM
6
Right you are, govind. I'll dial it down.
Posted by Brendan Kiley on June 17, 2009 at 10:08 AM
7
I can come up with three salient alteternative explanations for the clerical reaction to what is more or less a military coup.
1) The clergy realized what was going on late in the game is now worried about the erosion of their authority from the coup itself.
2) The coup was sponsored by a faction of the clergy to effectively purge moderate factions from power.
3) The clergy in general was on board with the coup but is now worried by the ineptness with which it was carried out and is having second thoughts about who they have entrusted with power.
Posted by kinaidos on June 17, 2009 at 10:12 AM
8
Let me be more clear: Awareness does not equal involvement.

Iran's government controls the military, the utilities and can, in an instant, shut this entire thing down. All they have to do to end this tweet/proxy movement is cut off all internet and/or power to cities.

Perhaps, right now, they have a mole or five among the kids to see if they can shut it down just by being in the loop.
Posted by Gomez http://misterstevengomez.com on June 17, 2009 at 10:15 AM
9
You know things are tough in the newspaper biz when the NYT has to ship its executive editor out there to cover a rumble fives hours out of Tehran.
Posted by Toe Tag on June 17, 2009 at 10:26 AM
10
The reason these protests continue isn't because it's a people's movement, it's because it's leverage for various internal players in Iran, Moussavi included. Without the strife in their highest echelons, these protests wouldn't continue.

The end result at best is that a different set of religious dictators assume power.
Posted by dunces on June 17, 2009 at 10:32 AM
11
the people of Iran will have achieved what many presidents, prime ministers, think tanks, seminars, summits, several wars, and hundreds of millions of dollars could not.


Imagine that.
Posted by keshmeshi on June 17, 2009 at 10:44 AM
Vince 12
The real fight has yet to come.
Posted by Vince on June 17, 2009 at 11:21 AM
13
Isn't it more important that Dan Savage is sad that Obama hasn't legalized gay marriage yet?
Posted by lorax on June 17, 2009 at 11:28 AM
Geni 14
Man, that is exciting news - if the soldiers start to side with the demonstrators, there is hope that this uprising won't be crushed out of existence. But it surely makes me fear for Robert Fisk, one of the best journalists in the Middle East. If he keeps defying the ban on reporting, they're gonna kill him, and that would be a dreadful loss.
Posted by Geni on June 17, 2009 at 12:12 PM

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