More good news out of Iowa: amending Iowa's state constitution is a long, complicated process, similar to the amendment process in Massachusetts. It would require affirmative votes in both houses of the Iowa state legislature during two consecutive legislative sessions before being put to the voters. The soonest an amendment banning same-sex marriage could find its way on to a ballot in Iowa: 2012.
Efforts to put an amendment banning same-sex marriage on the ballot in Massachusetts failed because by the time the legislature in that state got around to voting on the ban in that second legislative session, same-sex marriage had been legal in that state long enough for voters and politicians to see that it posed no threat to "traditional" marriage. The amendment failed to win approval in that second legislative session. Democracy wasn't thwarted in Massachusetts; the democratic process—representative democracy—thwarted the ban.
There's no way of knowing if the same scenario will unfold in Iowa. But like Massachusetts, and unlike California, voters in Iowa are going to have some time to get used to gay marriage before they're asked to vote on it.
Opponents can try and persuade Iowa lawmakers to address the issue, but state Senate Majority Leader Mike Gronstal, D-Council Bluffs, said it's "exceedingly unlikely" gay marriage legislation will be brought up this session, expected to end within weeks. He also said he's "not inclined to call up a constitutional amendment," during next year's session.
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