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Thursday, November 20, 2008

Despite National trend, Republicans Gain in Washington State

Posted by Will Kelley-Kamp on Thu, Nov 20, 2008 at 11:18 AM

While the 2008 election showed Democrats making solid gains on the national level, Republicans actually gained seats in the Washington State legislature.

It's not much - the state GOP appears likely to pick up just one seat in both the house and senate - but the fact that they were able to make those gains in the first place is a victory for the GOP.

In the state senate, the Democrats successfully defended one of their two most vulnerable seats and lost the other. In the 10th district, incumbent Sen. Mary Margaret Haugen defeated Republican Linda Haddon. However, in the the 2nd district, Republican Randi Becker unseated Sen. Marylin Rasmussen, a 22-year incumbent. This gives the GOP a net gain of one seat in the state senate.

In the state house, Democrats picked up an open seat in Vancouver's 17th district, where Democrat Tim Probst defeated Republican Joseph James. (The incumbent Republican, Rep. Jim Dunn, placed third and was eliminated in the August primary.)

In the 26th district, Republican Jan Angel—aided, as noted in earlier Slog post , by nearly $150,000 in independent expenditures—beat Democrat Kim Abel to succeed the retiring Rep Pat Lantz (D-Gig Harbor). The 26th, a swing district, has been trending Democratic recently, electing moderates like State Sen. Derek Kilmer and Rep. Larry Seaquist.

In Snohomish County's 44th district, Democratic Rep. Liz Loomis is currently down 98 votes to her challenger, Republican Mike Hope.

Then there's Spokane's 6th Legislative district:

Freshman Democratic Rep. Don Barlow was soundly defeated by Republican businessman Kevin Parker—another big PAC recipient. Barlow's seatmate, Republican Rep John Ahern, is also heading toward defeat: Democrat John Driscoll leads Ahern by 63 votes.

If these vote totals hold steady, Republicans will have a net gain of one seat in the house and one in the senate.

While Democrats still have big majorities in Olympia, those majorities actually could have been larger in 2008 if just a few races had gone the other way. Democrats again tried to knock off Federal Way Republican Rep. Skip Priest (R-30), one of only a handful of Republicans left in King County. Newcomer David Spring almost pulled off a big upset in Dino Rossi's old district (the 5th), getting within a few points of incumbent Glenn Anderson of Fall City. In the 10th district, Democrat Tim Knue narrowly lost his bid to unseat incumbent Republican Norma Smith.

For Republicans, the 2010 midterm elections hold a lot of promise. Fighting their way back to the majority will mean beating Speaker Frank Chopp at the game he plays best: Candidate recruitment.

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Comments (13) RSS

Oldest First Unregistered On Registered On Add a comment
1
Shh, don't give Ed and Jamie more ways to explain why a certain something won't get done yet again this year.
Posted by tomasyalba on November 20, 2008 at 11:32 AM
2
does anybody know why on real clear politics, in the state by state national presidential '08 results, every state has 100% counted their popular vote except for washington and oregon? which are 93, and 97 percent counted, respectively?
Posted by st on November 20, 2008 at 11:40 AM
3
I am sure the $5 Billion shortfall will REALLY help the Democrats out next election.

Perhaps our Democratic Party needs to pull it's collective head out of it's ass and actually start governing?
Posted by Just Me on November 20, 2008 at 11:58 AM
4
Because some people in Kent can't count. (unused "joke" from Almost Live cira 1992).
Posted by CommonKnowledge on November 20, 2008 at 11:58 AM
5
They're like cockaroaches! You stamp them out and they creep back. Keep stomping!
Posted by Vince on November 20, 2008 at 12:02 PM
6
Seriously, we've had a Democratic majority in the state legislature AND the governor's office, and what do we have to show for it? Mostly, just less harm than a Republican-controlled state would give us, but nobody gets excited to vote for someone who's merely "less bad" than the opposition.
Posted by David on November 20, 2008 at 12:12 PM
7
David Spring is a fucking nutcase. I met him, and I'm a lifelong Democrat, and I voted for his Republican opponent.
Posted by Big Sven on November 20, 2008 at 1:40 PM
8
Hi, Will.

Neither party has yet learned to play the top-two game aggressively. When one or both do, it's a brave new world.
Posted by RonK, Seattle on November 20, 2008 at 2:00 PM
9
@2 - because you could mail in your ballot on election night at any post office. Including ones in other states and countries.

It takes time for mail from Iraq to arrive here.
Posted by Will in Seattle on November 20, 2008 at 2:51 PM
10
Rethuglicans are so intolerant! They must all be killed!
Posted by Good Seattle Liberal Douche on November 20, 2008 at 4:13 PM
11
Will is quite right that 2010 holds promise for Republicans after actually having a good recruitment year even with Obama kicking ass at the top of the ticket. It all depends how Gregoire handles her budget problems, because if she stumbles she won't have Bush around to distract people.

Looking at which Senate seats are up next cycle the only two potential Democratic pickups after sweeping 2006 are Pam Roach and Dale Brandland. On the flip side, Republicans can target most of those seats they lost in 2006 but it will all depend on how permanent the Democratic dominance of the suburbs is if they can take back a few of those seats.
Posted by TMW on November 20, 2008 at 8:04 PM
12
I think every progressive Seattle person needs to send 50.00 and then thousands of us need to go work to get Pam Roach out on her ass - and hope she will mutter something about those Seattle homos and reds and greens and how they ganged up on her, etc, etc

she is the worst of the lousey

let' do it, via the grass roots, are dems really in the new era? I doubt it
Posted by George on November 21, 2008 at 2:29 AM
13
It would be hard for the GOP to go any lower in WA state than it was after the 2006 election. So yeah, they gain one seat in each. Big deal. Hardly bucking the national trend. They've been marginal for a few years in WA state, whereas in other places they were much more competitive until 2008.
Posted by Trevor on November 21, 2008 at 7:50 AM

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