Friday, March 1, 2013

The Univision States of America

Posted by on Fri, Mar 1, 2013 at 1:30 PM

February was a very good month for Spanish-language TV network Univision, which claimed fourth place in an in-season ratings sweep for the first time ever. Of course a lot of this has to do with the weakness of fifth place NBC, but the very fact that a Spanish-language network is even in a position to break into the top four says an awful lot about our shifting American demographics.

This is the same demographic shift that should have Republicans pooping their pants over their prospects in states where the rapidly growing Latino electorate threatens to swamp the stagnant old-white-guy GOP base. For example, states like Texas, where the 900,000 additional Latinos expected to enter the electorate by 2016 would overwhelm the 185,000 anticipated new white voters.

According to Nate Silver, this demographic shift alone is unlikely to be enough to put Texas and its 38 electoral votes in play by 2016, but it could help solidify the Democrats' advantage in a number of crucial swing states. And taking states like Florida, Nevada, and Colorado out of play would have a huge impact on the two parties' electoral strategies.

No wonder some Republicans now appear willing to cave on immigration reform.

 

Comments (8) RSS

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passionate_jus 1
Yeah, but if Marco Rubio is the nominee all of those Hispanic voters will vote Republican just like women voters overwhelmingly voted for Sarah Palin back in 2008.

Oh wait....
Posted by passionate_jus on March 1, 2013 at 1:39 PM · Report this
2
I think most Latinos are white, so soon they'll be a new old-white guy problem.
Posted by andrew http://seattletransitblog.com on March 1, 2013 at 1:44 PM · Report this
3
Actually, I guess a pluarity of Latinos are white:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_and_et…
Posted by andrew http://seattletransitblog.com on March 1, 2013 at 1:48 PM · Report this
4

We don't want our Lib TV.
Posted by Supreme Ruler Of The Universe http://_ on March 1, 2013 at 2:05 PM · Report this
fletc3her 5
The Republicans hardly have to campaign in Texas now. Even if it becomes a somewhat less safe state for them it will require a shift in their national campaigns.
Posted by fletc3her on March 1, 2013 at 2:16 PM · Report this
6
When you let your country get overrun by wetbacks what do you expect?
Posted by Shoot them at the border on March 1, 2013 at 4:51 PM · Report this
GeneStoner 7
It is unfortunate that the Latinos are not more in tuned with the Conservatives, as they tend to have many of the same values as the Republican platform...
Posted by GeneStoner on March 1, 2013 at 9:21 PM · Report this
8
1. ya Somos todos americanos en este hemisferio.
2. @6, ya estamos! Dejamos a los gringos houston bowio y crock e tt y otros k crucieran la frontera, y
K paso? Trajeron la esclavitud a mejico y cortaron el pais al rio bravo. Esa es lo k resulta de los ilegales!!
Posted by Teresa mendoza on March 3, 2013 at 11:13 AM · Report this

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