It doesn't matter much if pollsters misread Latino votes on a national scale. California will still go for Obama, and Texas will still go for Rmoney, even if Latino polls are way off. It only really matters in a couple of states that are close enough that they fall within the margin where an error in polling might make for a real mistake. The electoral college is what matters, not the national polls.

Take Arizona, for example. Arizona is sometimes on the list of swing states, and has a large Latino population. Rmoney is currently polling ahead in AZ, but close enough that if the Latino polling is way off, AZ could be a surprise Obama win on election night. Barreto also lists Nevada and Colorado as other close races where inaccurate Latino polling might be leading to a false prediction.

I'm a little more dubious of Florida. Florida's large Cuban population does not always vote in lock step with non-Cuban Latinos in the rest of the country, and tend to be much more Republican. In Florida, I really would expect a more even break in Latino voters.

@1 for the CostCo Chicken Meme Win of the Eon! Sadly, the Latino turnout will probably be disproportionately low due to the Republicans' voter suppression measures. It's a real Diego Corneja.
/WiS

The effectiveness of Republican voter suppression might end up being overstated. Hispanics can still get driver's licenses, by and large. They can't turn someone back just because he's Hispanic. In addition, a high-interest election might translate into an unusually high turnout rate. So who knows?

I so want Obama to sweep all the battleground states, just to see the Republican Party go into a cycle of self- recrimination and soul searching where they reflect on how they've treated minorities and banked on being the White Power party.

Floater,
The effectiveness of Republican voter suppression may end up being enough if combined with right-out cheating. With voter machines owned by Tagg Romney, it might be just be enough to steal the election for Mittens. And the Republicans can say that they won the election legitimately, because all these faulty polls were showing him neck and neck with Obama. That's why it's imperative that the polls reflect the truth, and that those of who still live in blue states vote all Democrat. It's unfortunately too fucking easy for Republicans to steal elections, as Bush showed.

Please just let it be November 7th so I can stop stressing about this crap!

#1

Romney has a gut shot straight draw to win CA.

It gets more real by the minute.

Tagg Romney does not own a single voting machine. Get a fucking life, shithead.

That said, I don't think this will make much of a difference. Except maybe in Texas. But they're pretty much a lost cause anyway.

All the right-wing media needs is a Rmoney lead in the national polls on November 6th, then if Obama wins they can claim conspiracy and continue to rake in the dough. Does anybody seriously think they give one single fuck about facts at this point? They've got bigoted self-entitled white people to pander to, for Allah's sake!

Floater: I'm not sure the current Republican Party has soul searching as a capability. I think they just go into double-down angry we-was-robbed mode.

Dems get depressed, do soul searching and then go into depressed we-was-robbed mode. Note that, once again, the current democrats are more likely to be correct.

Fifty Two Eighty,
Why don't you get a life and stop trolling, you closeted Republican. If you don't think Tagg Romney being a significant investor in voting machines in the most significant swing state is a problem, you've been too brainwashed by Tea Party neocon Republicans at Fox News. Something tells me you'd be jumping up and down yelling bloody murder if any Democrat was trying to pull off what Tagg is doing for his daddy. Mittens must be so proud. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/24…

@1 don't count on that. The only reason Texas is Red is gerrymandering. It's actually a Blue-Purple state.

Where this will really come into play is Nevada, Colorado, and (perhaps) Florida - swing states, big Latino populations.

@3 - Agree, would be great to see Latinos swing the vote in favor of Obama in key states (as they did the Senate in CA & NV in 2010) and call out Romney's "self-deportation" strategy for what it is: hateful and ridiculous.