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Lying Email of the Day

Tim Eyman sent out a blast email this morning claiming that opponents of his latest initiative, I-985, only want rich people to be able to drive alone in carpool lanes. (His initiative, in contrast, would open carpool lanes to everyone, including solo soccer moms in suburban assault vehicles, for most of the day, including hours when traffic is already congested). Eyman’s explanation for this audacious claim: Enviros (who oppose I-985) do support high-occupancy toll (HOT) lanes—HOV lanes that solo drivers can access for a variable toll during the parts of the day when freeways aren’t congested. (The worse the traffic is, the more solo drivers have to pay to get around it—and if traffic gets too bad, they aren’t allowed at all.) Opponents call these “Lexus lanes,” reasoning that after all, we’ve already paid for all those roads with our gas taxes and it isn’t fair to pay twice. And just think about all those poor, poor solo commuters stuck in traffic who just can’t afford the buck or two it will cost to jump on the HOV lane with all the (rich) carpoolers and folks on buses (and who, presumably, also can’t afford the bus)!

According to Eyman’s email:

I-985 opens carpool lanes to everyone during non-peak hours — it’s what other states do and provides immediate, cost-effective congestion relief. Opponents are squawking about this, whining that it’s just not right for solo drivers to be able to drive in those lanes. But I-985’s opponents support solo drivers using carpool lanes … as long as they’re rich. Lexus lanes are the future, say opponents, forcing solo drivers to pay twice for the ‘privilege’ of using carpool lanes.

There are a few glaring problems with that argument. First, “congestion relief” is a myth. The second you open up a new lane to solo traffic, that lane inevitably fills up, as people change their travel patterns, making trips they wouldn’t have taken or would have taken at different times—a very old, very basic concept known as latent or induced demand.

Second, the idea that “only rich people” can afford the tolls is ludicrous. According to the state Department of Transportation, the variable tolls on SR 167, the first HOT lane in the state, will range, on average, from $2 to $5. (If you’re riding in a carpool or on a bus, of course, the lanes are completely free). In comparison, Sound Transit Express bus fares range from $1.50 to $3; Sound Transit’s Sounder train fares range from $2.55 to $4.75; Pierce Transit bus fares range from $1.50 to $3; and King County Metro bus fares range from $1.50 to $2.25—and that’s about to go up. So the cost for “rich” people to drive alone in the 167 HOT lane is comparable to the price of commuting by bus—and that’s without all the stops, inevitable delays, and the hassle of sharing a small space with lots and lots of random strangers.

Finally, there’s the question of the gas tax. Is it true, as Eyman claims, that by paying a few bucks to hop in the HOV lane, solo drivers are “paying twice”? Of course not. Only about $12 million of the funding for the 167 project, for example, came from the five-cent gas tax approved by the legislature in 2005; the rest, around $5 million, came from a federal grant. The tolls themselves will pay to maintain HOT lanes, not build them—so no one will be paying twice for anything, and drivers won’t even pay the full cost of building the system in the first place. Meanwhile, the overall state transportation budget is facing an ongoing deficit—a deficit serious enough that, over the last four years, the state legislature has chipped in an extra $3.8 billion to pay for state transportation projects. That money didn’t come from state gas taxes, either—which, incidentally, only cost a typical driver (one whose car gets between 20 and 30 mpg) between $150 and $225 a year.

So, to summarize: Thanks to latent demand, opening HOV lanes up to everyone doesn’t provide “congestion relief.” HOT lanes are free if you carpool, and only a little more expensive than transit if you choose to drive alone. And drivers aren’t being forced to “pay twice” for roads they’ve already paid for with gas taxes; in fact, they’re getting subsidies from the state and federal government that protect them from the true cost of paying for those very lanes.

And speaking of rich people… Voters Want More Choices, Tim Eyman’s latest PAC, already has nearly $170,000 in the bank in advance of this November’s election.

Comments (14)

1

Why doesn't someone introduce an initiative to ban Tim Eyman from creating more initiatives? He was causing problems and promoting BS causes when I lived in Seattle over 9 years ago. Kick that jackass to the curb - or at least into the center of a car pool lane.

Posted by ReverendZ | September 3, 2008 1:19 PM
2

HAHAHA -- you deleted the one with all the comments.

Posted by Jubilation T. Cornball | September 3, 2008 1:56 PM
3

JTC is right, ECB.

Let's tax people who file more than three initiatives that are later found unconstitutional.

Posted by Will in Seattle | September 3, 2008 2:09 PM
4

Opening the HOV lanes on 520 would actually make matters worse. Drivers looking to exit would need navigate three car-filled lanes, rather than two, in already stop-and-go peak conditions. Add to that articulated buses that must now fraternize with cars the entire stretch of highway and you'd make 520 on serious 15 mph death trap.

Posted by Dougsf | September 3, 2008 2:11 PM
5

Both of you are incorrect, as usual.

What you're actually getting at is that congestion relief is not a long term solution to traffic problems. It is not a myth. If you open up an extra lane of traffic, that does relieve traffic congestion... albeit in the present, and over time, traffic demand can increase and the added capacity can fill up, but other factors are at play there.

$2-$5 per weekday each way can get expensive when you're already paying for tabs, gasoline, insurance and, if you don't already own the car outright, finance payments. You don't have to be rich, but it does drain your finances.

Eyman, obviously, is a rabble rousing obstructionist douchebag and his word has all the merit of a crackhead. But making equally illogical, farsighted, platitude-based arguments isn't any better. Someone who has openly stated her hatred for personal transportation probably shouldn't be making this argument if she cannot see the full picture and be objective.

Posted by Gomez | September 3, 2008 2:47 PM
6

Congestion relief?

You still believe in that pap?

Give me a frickin break.

Posted by Will in Seattle | September 3, 2008 2:57 PM
7

The first Law of Slog:

If ECB is against it, then it must be good!

Long live Tim.

Posted by montex | September 3, 2008 3:15 PM
8

Hey, I didn't say it was a good idea. It does what it's supposed to do when used. There are still subsequent consequences. Pretending it doesn't do anything at all, however, isn't smart.

Posted by Gomez | September 3, 2008 3:22 PM
9

Thanks, Erica. We know Tim Eyman is full of shit, but it's nice having the various and sundry reasons enumerated.

Posted by Greg | September 3, 2008 3:25 PM
10

Opening the HOV lane WORSENS congestion, because it slows the buses down to the same speed as the cars, and thus negates the sole advantage of the bus, thereby emptying the bus back into single-occupant cars. Those cars alone contribute far more to traffic load than the bus ever did.

In addition, the newly open lane just fills up. Any short-term easing of traffic not negated by the above will immediately fill with NEW traffic. Any increase in average speed over the bridge, to, say, 20-30 MPH, will draw a stampede of induced demand until the average speed once again slows to the minimum that people will tolerate, and which point they will start to seek other routes.

No, Gomez: congestion relief is not only a myth; it's an outright lie.

Posted by Fnarf | September 3, 2008 4:14 PM
11

Comment eaten.

Gomez, you're wrong. Opening the HOV lane INCREASES congestion in two ways: one, it slows the buses down to the speed of the cars, negating the only advantage of buses and thus driving riders into cars instead; and two, the very temporary increase in average speed just draws induced demand until that speed goes down.

It CAN result in an increased number of vehicles that pass, but NOT an increase in people (80 single-occupant cars vs. one bus) or average speed (which is set by the tolerance level of drivers, not traffic needs).

Posted by Fnarf | September 3, 2008 4:19 PM
12

I dare you to write a post that doesn't bold every other sentence. I don't think you have it in you.

Posted by burgin99 | September 3, 2008 4:23 PM
13

The induced demand happens over a long term, unless there is a traffic problem along another major corridor. I don't disagree that it does not help over the long term.

Posted by Gomez | September 4, 2008 1:37 PM
14

From: Tim Eyman

Here's the part of the email that Ms. Barnett didn't want anyone to read:

I-985 opens carpool lanes to everyone during non-peak hours -- it's what other states do and provides immediate, cost-effective congestion relief. Opponents are squawking about this, whining that it's just not right for solo drivers to be able to drive in those lanes. But I-985's opponents support solo drivers using carpool lanes ... as long as they're rich. Lexus lanes are the future, say opponents, forcing solo drivers to pay twice for the 'privilege' of using carpool lanes.

With skyrocketing gas prices, food costs, layoffs, strikes, and economic insecurity, who can afford to pay twice? Rich people.

I-985 recognizes that taxpayers have already paid for these lanes with our state's highest-in-the-nation gas tax -- they shouldn't be double-taxed for using these lanes during non-peak hours. We all paid for these lanes and we should all be able to use them at least some of the time.

And, contrary to Gregoire's budget office, this policy change will not be expensive.

Here is the fiscal note on Senate Bill 5121, introduced during the 2003 legislative session, whose prime sponsors were Senators Dino Rossi and Don Benton. Cost estimate by Locke's budget office: $4.8 million.
https://fortress.wa.gov/ofm/fnspublic/showPackage.asp?RecordID=pdfs/2003/p57
59.pdf

Gregoire's budget office estimates the cost of I-985's opening of carpool lanes during non-peak hours (interestingly, they're the same hours as in SB 5121) would be $224 million.
http://www.washingtonpolicy.org/Centers/transportation/FiscalImpactStatement
_985_revised.pdf

This should tell you everything you need to know about the Governor's race: a second-term Governor Gregoire will spend 45 times more than Governor Rossi would in order to implement the same policy.

It is obvious that Gregoire's budget people have wildly exaggerated the cost -- but common sense tells you, backed up by the SB 5121's fiscal note, that it won't cost a lot. And I-985's dedicated revenue from red light camera profits alone will more than cover the cost to implement this voter-supported policy.

Posted by Tim Eyman, I-985 co-sponsor, www.ReduceCongestion.org | September 5, 2008 8:25 PM

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