Comments on Obama Ahead in... Montana?!?

Fnarf called it.

The Dakotas are next.

Which states will McCain manage to pull off winning, if any?

The Dakotas haven't been polled in months, just like Montana before today.

Short comments are tasty.

#3, Idaho?

Obama needs to become versed in water rights: If he does that every rancher in the West will vote for him. Don't know what water rights are about: Google it.

Some of us told you this a while back - especially those of us with relatives and friends from Montana.

Most of the West has had it with the America-hating Incompetent Republicants.

Obama should stay the f... out of water rights - only n00bz like McSame would jump into that one this year. Leave it to the states for now.

I still think McCain will end up winning most/all of the inland-west states (except for Colorado and New Mexico, I hope!). But, I find it so reassuring that Obama is polling so well in some of these... it just means McCain has to spend more time there, rather than Ohio, Florida, Indiana, Virginia, and Pennsylvania. So, if Obama can make trips to places like Montana and North Dakota to keep the McCain camp playing catch-up, go for it!

"Urbane liberal in a barn jacket" Oh, that's right, Obama doesn't wear a barn jacket. Hubris loses elections, I'm pleased to say.

Obama's not going to win Idaho, though he'll surprise a few people there. Idaho's probably 10 years away from voting D for anything. Unless McCain completely falls in the toilet, which is always possible. There's a reasonable chance that of highly visible "senior moments" in public forums, like maybe a debate or two where he just loses his grip; THEN Idaho might go.

But Montana? Dem governor, two Dem senators -- what's red about that?

More importantly, Eli, did Montanans march for Obama in a Pride Parade?

Montana's Republicans are really libertarian and libertarians have no tolerance for the religious right. Any one from Montana knows that abortion will always be safe there, that the legalization of medicinal marijauna was no surprise and that the environment became a huge issue for Montanans once they realized the policy of the Bush administration was taking away their beloved areas of hunting and fishing.

Will, seriously, stop using "n00bz" and its variants until you learn what it means.

NYT:

"Senator Barack Obama said Thursday that he might “refine” his plans for a phased withdrawal from Iraq after meeting with military commanders there later this summer. But later, he hastily held a second news conference: to emphasize his commitment to withdrawing all combat troops from Iraq within 16 months of taking office."

But he gave a speech so you see he's actually very different on foreign policy um hmmmmmm

Right, PC.

I suspect what the military commanders told him is that you can't just pack up and haul out of there in two days; you need to coordinate very carefully even for the simplest troop and material movement, let alone for moving 100,000 people and a trillion dollars worth of equipment out of a war zone. It ain't like moving house. I think the fact that Obama is paying visible attention to reality is a positive sign, not wolf peeping out of sheepskin.

Wall Street Journal and Washington Post have New Mexico in the Obama win column.

Idaho .. probably not, but you never know.

And Fnarf is correct on what happened re the military - Dana Priest was talking about it today in chat and there's been quite a bit of back-channel chatter about the logistics of getting out of Iraq and removing the Red Bushies in the pipeline.