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1

I thought Diebold accidentally released the results of the election already. OLD NEWS!


lol

Posted by high and bi | April 30, 2008 9:32 AM
2

No, it's not old news, because they keep pretending "Hils can catch up" ... when she's already lost, but they just embargo the news until the primaries and caucus elections are over.

Posted by Will in Seattle | April 30, 2008 9:57 AM
3


@2 - absolutely correct.

Next week - they're neck and neck in Indiana, and Obama is still ahead in NC. Those two contests are not going to make a significant difference in terms of the lead in pledged delegates.

After May 6th - even if Hillary wins every remaining contest by a ten point spread, Obama needs only 60 more superdelegates once all is said and done in South Dakota (the final contest).

For Hillary to deny him those 60 superdelegates, she would have to get 80% of the remaining superdelegates. There's simply no way the counts are going to break that way.

Posted by bohica | April 30, 2008 10:31 AM
4

Will, I ain't pretending HRC's going to win the nomination. But the problem is the fall election; Obama is really behind Clinton in head to heads in OH PA FL and is behind in some other states and Obama's doing better in a few states like MN WI IA but that doesn't outweigh his weakness in key big swing states and key demographics and Rev. Wright means he's provided his own fodder for the GOP to make him out as a total weirdo "not like us" -- they actually had to do a little work to get stuff on Kerry and Dukakis but now they have 10000 times more stuff on Obama.

Facing this reality means less joyful gloating about vitory over HRC and more focusing on winning in the fall like perhaps Obama should
1. announce a huge get out the vote voter registration plan and start it now for key big battleground states.
2. give us a real economic plan.
3. give us a real plan to catch OBL
4. for unity say he's open to HRC then make her VP later


Your dream last Jan. that he'd sweep to vicotry with R and I votes i 30 or 40 states was a fairy tale (ITYS) and he's now shown to be weak in the big swing states, weak in key demographics, scared to debate, and now getting an image as a wimpy wimp who had to dump his weirdo pastor of 20 years who says Obama will say what a pol has to say.

Look for Wright to retaliate now by saying "oh you know OBama actually WAS in the pews a few times I said those things" he has nothing left to lose now.

Posted by unPC | April 30, 2008 10:38 AM
5

It seems to me that some supers, like Eileen Macoll, are pandering for political favors by withholding their declarations. That much is completely obvious.

I'm more baffled by McDeromott. He's a pretty powerful house member. His reelection is all but guaranteed. He doesn't seem to be beholden to anyone. He's too far left to be seriously considered for a cabinet post. He consistently raises more money than he needs for campaigning, so he doesn't need fundraising help (unlike desperate Reichert).

I can understand why he wouldn't commit before the WA state caucus. But I don't understand why he is still holding out now. I don't see what he has to gain by it.

Posted by Reverse Polarity | April 30, 2008 10:41 AM
6

Maybe the Secret Superdelegates are holding out for a Secret SuperCandidate.

Posted by NapoleonXIV | April 30, 2008 11:06 AM
7

@4:
1. announce a huge get out the vote voter registration plan and start it now for key big battleground states.

Welcome to last week.

Posted by ru shur | April 30, 2008 11:31 AM
8

if you write mcdermott, here's his official response:

"Thank you for contacting me about the upcoming Presidential election. This is a historic contest, and I am very pleased that the Democratic Party has put forth outstanding candidates for the Presidency. As the race narrows, pressure for endorsement naturally escalates. At this point, however, I am unwilling to offer a candidate endorsement.

As we move toward the Democratic Convention in August, I hope that record numbers of Americans will participate in our electoral process, and that we will go into the general election with a vibrant and united Democratic Party. The long, disastrous years of the Bush Administration have made it painfully evident that we must elect a Democratic President of strength and integrity; the many urgent challenges before us demand that each of us and all of us embrace that objective. As we move toward a solid Democratic victory in November, I will weigh your remarks carefully.

Again, I appreciate hearing from you.
Sincerely,

Jim McDermott
Member of Congress"

Posted by skye | April 30, 2008 1:19 PM
9

Obama had better win in November. And that is looking very unlikely.

Posted by Vince | April 30, 2008 2:10 PM

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