Comments on On Making Scientific Decisions

pthalates

Well said.

phalluses are banned in Europe now?

Is there any evidence that exposure to pthalates causes whiny douchebags to transfer the blame for their own manifold shortcomings onto conspiracy theories? Might explain how these "Expelled" liars got that way.

Ha ha! Damn right! Darwin Award for those American kids who get sick from the plastic!

Also, can someone make the point please that science doesn't deal with certainties and never has? It's all about probabilities; when the probability of something becomes high enough, it's useful to behave as though there's certainty. Dipshit ID advocates insist that scientists think they know things absolutely. kthxbye.

Well, it's just that it's repeatable observations and tests from which conclusions are drawn.

Mind you, since Invisible Friends don't count, this is also proof that the Invisible Spaghetti Monster is the One True God and all other gods are pale imitations.

we are all future fertilizer, the rest is conversation.

Ach! Science. Is. Not. Public. Policy. Either.

Ughh... I read the footnotes to the Times editorial what a waste of time.

To reiterate your second point, the entire point of science is to replace "god did it" as a theory. Why does it rain? Why do volcanoes happen? Why does the sun rise and set? Go back far enough and the answer was always "some great power made it so". If that satisfies you then great call it a day.

I wonder how these ID folks feel about astronomy? The idea of a naturalistic explanation for the creation of the Earth doesn't seem like something they'd be too happy with either.

But obviously the subject of our existence is the hottest of all subjects. If you don't want to subject that to scientific scrutiny, then fine, it's a free country, but we still have science classes in the schools. Don't worry soon enough our schools won't be teaching anything much less evolution.

Marry me! ;)

So then the question becomes can they use "mathematics" to PROVE that there is no naturalistic explanation for the human form. This is basically what Dembski et all want to do. The answer is "no". This would (if possible) be a feat worthy of one of the greatest minds of history. Descartes worked on it but his proof of the existence of god lacked mathematical rigor.

These ID guys are shallow thinkers at best. Casey Luskin's "The Positive Case for Design,” at http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/filesDB-download.php?id=986 is juvenile.

"Natural structures have been found that contain many parts arranged in
intricate patterns that perform a specific function (e.g. complex and
specified information), such as irreducibly complex machines in the cell.
The bacterial flagellum is a prime example. The specified complexity of
protein bonds, or the simplest self-reproducing cell are other examples."

Thanks, boy, that's what Dembski said. I thought you guys were going to PROVE that evolution COULD NOT explain the human form. I want to see some fucking lemmas not hand waving.

If we do ever get rid of this creationist hogwash lets hope it takes down another bastion of untestable rubbish:

String Theory

Obama-lama-ding-dong. And stone crabs. Yum.

Zombie Feynman!

It's phthalates. Yes, there are a lot of extra consonants in there. But it looks silly to misspell it when you're writing a screed against ignorant IDers and it looks sillier to correct the spelling to something incorrect. It also doesn't do much for your argument that you know best for how to deal with them.

do sloggers really have to bold every other sentence?

I may be an aetheist, but I still like South Parks reasoning behind god and evolution, evolution isn't so much of a why, but a how.

ID people, if they truely wanted to appreciate gods works, would spend less time trash talking theories they don't like, and more time appreciating the world that god gave them! I mean, isn't that supposed to be the beauty of it? Be grateful and thankful that we have cool animals, that we have technology, that we have medicine. Be the products of man, or god's hands working through man, the net result is the same. They are here, and you can be grateful just the same.

But what the fuck do I know, I'm just an aetheist

@6:

That's part of the irony of the ID debate, IMO; the side that is ABSOLUTELY 100% POSITIVE THAT GOD EXISTS (but, which of course can't PROVE it by any known method of empirical analysis) DEMANDS that "science" must be 100% positive in its own assertions, or else the other side MUST THEREFORE BE CORRECT.

It's the old, "if you have the least bit of doubt about the validity of your own argument, regardless of how infintessimally small it may be, then you must automatically agree completely to the validity of the opposing argument, regardless of how infinetessimally small the odds of it actually being correct" point-of-view.

It's wrong, it's stupid, and these people need to be duct-taped to a chair with some of those horror-show "Clockwork Orange" eyeball openers, and forced to watch old videos of Carl Sagan until they scream for mercy.

You're right, but let's also keep the hubris in check: science is (by definition) not conclusive on the supernatural, and -- this fact is lost on many in the scientific community -- MOST world religion is not concerned with literalist explanations for natural phenomena, but rather with the maturation of the individual and his/her role within society/ecology.

Excepting American religion. And please, let's not lump all world religions in with those douchebags.

String theory is as much a dead end as ID is.

And both continue to waste so many beautiful minds ...

As a scientist, let me thank you for this. With all the press Expelled has been getting, the absolutely ridiculous demand of the ID crowd that their theological postulates be trotted out as science has been bugging the crap out of me.

@12: I was thinking about just that issue as I was driving home from work today. I've worked out an algorithm by which a complex structure - say, an image of the Mona Lisa - could be produced out of a blank canvas over several iterations using viability matrices. If I had 40 or so spare hours for programming I'd get right on it. But, alas, I'm coming up for tenure and won't be able to whine about a thought-stifling conspiracy if it's denied. So instead I spend my time doing ACTUAL SCIENCE.

What makes ID so insidious is that it strategically preys upon misconceptions about science held by many (most?) Americans, making them more susceptible to its arguments. And by couching the idea in terms of freedom of speech rather than religious doctrine, it's disguising its true form. How's that for a serpent in the garden, bitches?

@21 I would like String Theory more if it wasn't sold as a universal truth and more as an intelectual exercise.

The fact that they are "strings" seems completely arbitrary, but the math they use ... although hand wavey has at least SOME merit

Hand wavey? Ah, well, the Atlantic Ocean is doing its hand-wavey thing at me right now. Maybe a swim will be in order in the near future.

@24 What's wrong with swimming in the Atlantic? I grew up spending summer vacations at Cape Cod.

phallates - n. - The act or practice of applying the principles of pilates to one's sex life.

Etymology: Blend of phallus and pilates

Absolutely nothing wrong with it. Especially when it's in Miami. Which is where I am right now. Grew up swimming in those same waters myself, was in Beantown yesterday, but you don't go swimming there at this time of year.

Fifty-Two-Eighty, if you created your own blog, both of your fans could keep tabs on your trip without all these embarrassing cries for attention.

Actually ... you make sure you are a good hike away from Beantown bay before you go swimming,

Oh noes! I've been elenchosed! Excuse me while I commit ritual suicide.

Just kidding. I know you have four fans.

pthalates, phallates. heh, this is what happens when I'm spell checked, but not copy edited. Thank you.

Yeah, Matt, the last time I was on a boat in the harbor (pronounced haa-bah for you non-yankees) I kept thinking "Geez, what am I gonna do if the boat sinks." Wouldn't want to swim in that stuff.

And for the Seattlites who complain about their duck boats ... the boston duck boat tourists are SO much more obnoxious

I have to admit that I did get a chuckle out of it when the duck-boaters stopped the victory parade for the Bosox last year. Fucking numb-nuts.

I know from personal experience that Boston Harbor is a thick, nourishing stew of plastic tampon applicators. Seriously: go to any beach, even as far away as Marblehead, and look closely at the strand. Millions of the things. Mmm.

Yep, Marblehead, Rockport, even Plymouth and Gloucester. And you've gotta really wonder about people who spell "Gloster" Gloucester. Dipping into the good drugs maybe?

Nice post. xkcd rocks.

The sloggers must-see one:

http://www.xkcd.com/386/

The really scary thing about the public viability of the ID silliness is what it says about the lame nature (or is it nurture :-) of science ed in the states. Like Jonathon says, ID is by definition not science. That there's even a conversation going on about this issue bodes ill for all the difficult scientific controversies that are at the core of so many pub policy issues.

@9 Science may not be public policy, but it sure comes in handy when you're trying to figure out the price of carbon, etc. etc.

Really, @36? I spent a couple of weeks this past summer at a number of beaches in the Rockies, and I didn't find a single tampon applicator ...

I'm sure you all know by now that you can swim in the Charles, you just can't touch the ground.