these are the people selling us loans:

Wider Dep., Nov. 8, 2007, at 418:25-419:17.
Q. And you have a hard time comprehending. We’re going to adjourn this deposition if this happens again because you are offending every single person.
A. Don’t speak for anybody in here except yourself fuck face.

Obama can do the great oratory and we found on Tuesday the kind of oratory school children will study years from now. But Obama needs to show us something more human, he needs to connect with us on a personal level as well. If he does not show that other side; the side of him that plays in all time zones he is toast and the dream is over.

Remember the West Wing when Toby tells Bartlet during his reelection bid that he needed to show people the "absent minded professor" the guy that plays well everywhere? That is what Obama needs to do and do quickly and sincerely.

The records don't make us remember Monica Lewinsky: Salacious reporters remind us. And we would rather forget. Also, Hils made policy, including pushing NAFTA.

We've known for a while now that Obama's ahead and the likely nominee. So "long shot" ain't news. The real clear politics site says the money is on Obama 75% to Clinton 25%. Yawn. Yes, we understand the math.

What is news is that exactly as predicted Obama's negatives are becoming known, his electability is going down, and that whole theory the OBama folks supported that said he would magically turn large numbers of red states blue has gone "poof!" -- as predicted.

1. The Gallup Poll daily tracking finds Clinton leading Obama among D's and D-leaners, 49% to 42%. That's 7 points. Obama dropped 8 points and Clinton rose 5 points, recently. Trend is against Obama.

2. real clear politics site: Obama and Clinton are even against McCain. Clinton bests Obama against McCain in 3 key battleground states: PA: Clinton is 1.8 points better than Obama. OH: Clinton is 6.7 points better than Obama.
FL: Clinton is 4 points better than Obama.

Gee, is losing PA OH and FL a viable path to winning in the fall ? Does this Pastor Wright stuff help Obama in states like VA and IA and MO ? Enough to get around losing the big battelground states?

Conclusion: Obama isn't magic like Jesus. He has a past and big negatives, like anyone. This past is becoming known and R's and I's don't like it. He is what he is: not just a northern liberal, but with the Pastor Wright stuff his identity is cementing as an ultra liberal.

Sure, we in Seattle love that. Shit yeah, we should finally deal with race in America, anti Americanism of Wright is tolerable if not kind of right -- we're a bad nation lots of the time and our own policies abroad instigate a terrorist reaction. But that all makes the argument that Obama will magically draw vast numbers of I's and R's go "poof!"

He's not going to win all those swing states with all those tapes about God Damn America and the US of KK-A, etc.
He's looking more and more like all the Democratic losers of the past 60 years -- Stevenson, Humphrey, Mondale, Dukakis, Gore (the elite senator's son raised in a hotel in DC) and Kerry.

"But he'll translate our sins so we can fix them!" is not the path to victory in the general election.

That's politics.

@4, the super delegates are there to "protect" the party. If they see that his negatives are too high, they will support Hillary. So, why are you fretting?

Is it any surprise that the candidate that's currently being devoured in the media is the one that gets diminished?

Start publicly rehashing some of the Clintons' greatest scandals, and Hillary's numbers will fall. As would McCain's, if we ever got that far.

Whoever's under the press magnifying glass at any given time is the one being fried.

On the UW prof's homelessness program:

Meet people where they are=housing first model=realistic solution to housing crisis.

Check out the Real Change Organizing Project for other ideas.

Since when were Oregonians a quantity?

In this election cycle, being the front-runner is bad. Every front runner has fallen in the polls. There is a lot of time left and the current polls of Obama slipping are simply a snap shot of the present.

Number one has a huge target on them this election cycle.

Hillary is unelectable. She follows in the fine tradition of Dukakis and Mondale.

In case anyone from "Hils" contingent doesn't realize this, Angry white males hate her, and women who hate other women hate her. Both of those groups vote.

Oh well, maybe Granpaw McCain won't be that bad.

That poll was taken before Obama's speech. The important polls will be the ones taken next week, after the speech has had a chance to filter down. MSNBC has a good analysis of this, saying that this may just be Obama bottoming out and that he can now begin crawling back up.

unPc - it is verboten to give any Obama negatives.

It is encouraged to bring up 20 year old charges about Hillary because well just because.

It is clear that most of America has forgotten all those anti Clinton screeds from the 90s therefore when they are reminded of them her numbers will really go down.

@3 is right - there's now official documentation from the White House papers of the Clinton administration that shows that Sen Clinton was not involved in policy, other than pushing NAFTA, after her health care debacle.

But she pushed NAFTA ... a lot. She loved it. She gave speeches about it. I'm surprised they're not on YouTube yet ...