2008 The Republican Field: Can McCain Be Stopped?! (No.)
posted by on February 6 at 13:50 PM
By Ryan S. Jackson
So, we know, the Democratic race is a total car wreck. What of the Republicans?
While there was early speculation that John McCain’s win last night didn’t seem to be generating the enthusiasm that you would expect of a party rallying around what looks to be its nominee, its hard to argue with some of the brutal electoral realities:
-McCain stomped his opponents in the big states and did fairly well in the smaller ones. In California, where Romney was supposedly riding a mini-surge of his own, McCain won all but two of the state’s congressional districts. His margin in most of the other major delegate states are similarly massive.
-While there’s still some quibbling over the final delegate count, McCain’s camp is claiming that at this point the arithmetic toward the 1,191 delegate majority is so far in their favor that it’s almost impossible for them to lose. McCain is cautiously at 775, while Romney sits at 284. This puts Romney in a situation where he almost has to run the board for the remaining contests. Which is a problem because…
-So long as Mike Huckabee is in the race, Mitt Romney will never be able to bring together a viable anti-McCain coalition. Based on his ability last night to win states with little money or media exposure, Huckabee is saying that he’s staying in.
-Ron Paul is going to have a race car! Vroooom! He has yet to challenge viably for a state.
In other news, I just found out that while one Duncan Hunter may be out of the presidential race (and politics) forever, another, younger Duncan Hunter will be replacing him. Hunter’s son, Duncan D. Hunter, will be running for his father’s congressional seat in California. Duncan D. Hunter also has a son named Duncan Hunter. The chain of Hunter-dom may remain unbroken well into my seventies.
One problem. McCain ain't got no money. Romney does and Huckabee doesn't need it. Plus, their competitions are bloodbaths where they savage each other and eat their young. So long as the other two make it to the convention, all will be well.
Duncan Hunter is a nitwit. I am ashamed to acknowledge that Southern CA votes for him.
Bleah.
On the other hand MY congressperson is about 180 degrees opposite Mr. Hunter.
There's so much dissention in the Republican party right now that it's almost fun to watch. McCain almost certainly will get the nod, but he's not "Republican" enough for the hard-liners. Huckabee's unelectable, amd they know it. And poor Captain Underpants is just caught in the middle. They're pdrhaps even on thd verge of an internecine meltdown than the Dems are.
Cindy McCain will be gracious and charming First Lady.
Most of those small state victories for McCain are only because Huckabee and Romney split the crazy right-wing vote as well as they did; look at Oklahoma, for example, which went 37% to McCain, 33% to Huckabee, 25% to Romney (and 6% to Ron "Vroooom" Paul).
One wonders how this would have looked if there was McCain and one conservative candidate rather than two.
Hillary is the GOP's dream opponent. ...President McCain!
Also, McCain's "big stage" victories were in states that have historically gone Democratic in the last four presidential elections: California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Delaware. If those are the states where he is strongest among Republicans, is he really the best candidate to win the overall election?
Yes, but Duncan Hunter III already looks like teh gay:
Hunter_Family_Photo.jpg
McCain did win big on Tuesday but I'd like to point out, if you look at the actual VOTE TOTALS, the Republican winner of their primaries in 14 states, came in THIRD behind Clinton and Obama, and in most of those 14, it was a distant third.
In the majority of states yesterday, the total number of Democratic votes was quite a bit higher than the total number of Republican votes which is encouraging in red states like Arkansas and Georgia.
Now, if the Dems can come together and be strong, we can sit back and watch the Republicans fall apart...
At this point I think RonPauls supports must realize that his camping is a bigger internet joke the O'l Ted Stevens and his tubes, are are now just going for broke.
#9: You're correct. However, the Dems are fracturing. Obama can't win Hispanics and white women. Clinton won't energize the black vote, which will doom her in Ohio & the South. She doesn't excite the youth, and they won't vote. Republicans will see Hillary and vote against her.
Either way, McCain wins.
Huckabee and Romney must know that if only one of them were running, he would likely win th nomination. They're playing a really retarded game of chicken based mostly on hating each other. Both shall have to swallow their bile as they watch Pres. McCain enact policy after policy they despise.
It's not a fracture, it's comparison shopping. Either candidate may not get every vote that went for their primary opponent, but Clinton or Obama will cream McCain in the general election. The other two are nowhere. This landslide is just starting.
The Democratic race is "a total car wreck"? Really?
It's called campaigning, nitwit.
No wonder you're unpaid. Do they let you outside without a helmet?
And as for McCain being unstoppable, it will come to a screaching halt if his health records are made public. I don't know why the guy's running. He's literally 3/4 of the way home to Jesus - and not because he's old.
LOL, @11. Exit polling shows Dems are still pretty happy to vote for the Dem they didn't choose (about 70 percent), while the same can not be said for the GOP side (something like 40 percent). (WaPo)
McCain is all about the Hundred Years War.
Which we can't afford - even now.
@14
LOL, John McCain is totally old. I bet your DailyKos diary is all the rage within your immediate family.
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