2008 The Confusing Battle for Washington State
posted by on February 8 at 16:30 PM
I have a piece up at Time.com this afternoon that previews the caucus fight here in Washington State.
It’s paired with a national overview piece by a writer, Jay Newton-Small, who touched off quite a debate in the Slog comments on Wednesday. Here’s Newton-Small’s take on the big picture for the weekend, which includes not just the exciting race in Washington, but contests in several other states as well:
For all of his attempts to downplay expectations, Senator Barack Obama is heading into a weekend that will probably make him look like anything but the underdog.
Maybe Iīm just missing stuff because I`m in rural Oaxaca, but as people discounted South Carolina and Georgia because of the Black vote, I havenīt heard anyone mention the incredible possibility an Obama candidacy presents: the Democrats could take the Deep South for the first time since...Lyndon Johnson?
It's caucus revolution, Baby!
Fired up and ready to go!
(even if Aislinn isn't ...)
@1, amigo, just because Obama wins SC MS GA or even ND UT ID in a primary or caucus doesn't show the D's will win any of those places in the general election. (McCain won CA and NY -- it doesn't mean the GOP is going to win those states in the Fall.)
On history:
LBJ swept the South; but so did Carter in 1976.
In 1992 BillDawg won MO AR LA KY TN & GA (drawing about 60 electoral votes from the S). In '96 D's kept MO AR LA KY TN, lost Ga. & picked up Fl.
This Saturday we have WA, NE and LA. We have Maine on Sunday, then Tuesday DC, MD and VA. Then WI.
Obama should win most or all of these.
Look for him to be annointed "frontrunner" in the Sunday talk shows.
And then when we have a primary vote in another state that Sen Clinton wins, she'll be anointed the frontrunner.
The MSM has no clue what is going on. None.
whoa... a stranger writer makes it into time... is that significant?
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