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Saturday, January 26, 2008

Waiting for the South Carolina Results

posted by on January 26 at 12:05 PM

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The polls opened at 7 a.m. in South Carolina today, and they’ll close at 7 p.m. Eastern time.

(That’s 6 p.m. West Coast of Mexico time and 4 p.m. Seattle time.)

Expectations games here and here. High turnout predictions here.

The assumption is that Obama will win—though, keep in mind, that was the assumption going into New Hampshire. Still, it seems a somewhat more well-founded assumption going into South Carolina, where the state’s large black population has been telling pollsters it’s overwhelmingly for Obama. Barring some sort of black-voter Bradley effect, Obama is likely to get a much-needed popular victory tonight, along with a boost in his delegate count. The question is: If Obama’s win hinges solely on the black vote, does that make him vulnerable to being painted as the “black” candidate?

See you when the results come in.

RSS icon Comments

1

"The question is: If Obama’s win hinges solely on the black vote, does that make him vulnerable to being painted as the “black” candidate?"

The answer is: Yes. We're not exactly a nation of nuanced analysis.

Posted by Jubilation T. Cornball | January 26, 2008 11:57 AM
2

Wait... I thought Fox News already declared Obama as the muslim candidate?

Posted by Brandon Dismuke | January 26, 2008 12:10 PM
3

Hell, a large spy satellite is likely to hit the earth, before the MSM treats Obama with respect.

Posted by unPC | January 26, 2008 12:38 PM
4

All I know is that if Obummer doesn't win tonight, he might as well pack his bags and go home.

Posted by Fifty-Two-Eighty | January 26, 2008 12:59 PM
5

The MSM is so unfair to Obama! They're always talking about how nice and pretty Hillary is.

Posted by Obama SuperFan | January 26, 2008 1:22 PM
6

is it a surprise that white people in south carolina, democrats or not, are iffy about choosing a black candidate? this is after all, the state that founded the confederacy. i would hope people would just expect barack to take most of the black democrats, given the state he's in, and move on from there.

Posted by Judith | January 26, 2008 1:25 PM
7

a friend in SC is giving me updates all day
"She is Obama all the way. I like him too. I think most of my siblings are voting Obama. My sister is driving home from Nashville to vote for him. Edwards is going to hurt him by taking some votes away. He will do better here but his union support hurts because all our mills kept the unions out completely. Even the poorest workers still are easily convinced to vote Republican. Bad religion will do that to you, I guess."
"She was the 168th voter at our precinct, (you have to sign in.)
She said it was not crowded but there was good flow of people.

All of that is great news for Democrats! To have motivated voters on a Saturday for a democratic primary in Upstate SC is big for the party! That is very good news for November, I think!"

Posted by um | January 26, 2008 1:57 PM
8

Obama will win big. He'll have the media spotlight, and this will be his biggest opportunity yet to address all of us.

Posted by unPC | January 26, 2008 2:05 PM
9

Just goes to show that the Politics of Fear no longer work in America.

Posted by Will in Seattle | January 26, 2008 4:42 PM
10

Glad to see you're hanging out down at the older part of town, but... uh, why don't you just unplug and catch up on it all when you get back north? The election isn't until November! None of this stuff is really all that important in the long run.

(November '08 most certainly is, of course.)

Posted by CP | January 26, 2008 11:21 PM
11

You need a vacation from your vacation! Glad to see you hanging out in the older part of town now, but why don't you just unplug and catch up on it when you get back?

None of this stuff is all that important. Novmeber '08, that will be important.

Posted by CP | January 26, 2008 11:25 PM

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