2008 The Reverse Bradley Effect
posted by January 18 at 9:10 AMon
As Eli linked in Morning News, the NYT is reporting that Southern blacks are split over Obama vs. Clinton.
Yeah, good luck with that bit of analysis. The Times story isn’t riffing off any polling they’ve done, but rather they’re talking about splits on black newspaper boards and splits among prominent black leaders. But even if they were talking about polling, their reporting would be just as naive.
Fact: When blacks go to vote, they will overwhelmingly vote for Obama over Clinton. Duh. Don’t know if pollsters will be able to prove it with exit polling, but the actual vote count will make it clear that blacks who say they voted for Clinton will be fibbing the pollster.