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Monday, January 14, 2008

Mitt Needs Michigan… Desperately

posted by on January 14 at 15:47 PM

Posted by Ryan S. Jackson

Tuesday’s primary in Michigan won’t really matter to the Democrats—the state was stripped of Democratic National Convention delegates after it decided to move up the date of its primary, and has been boycotted by most of the field of Democratic contenders. On the Michigan ballot, the three leading liberal lights are Clinton, Kucinich, and Uncommitted. However, Michigan could play a decisive role in the Republican fight, sending one of the most beloved of the conservative cast members stumbling back to Massachusetts.

Mitt Romney needs to win something, anything, to continue to justify his well-coiffed presence in the race, and his father’s old stomping ground of Michigan could be that magic state that saves “Mitt-stravaganza ‘08” from an early and ignoble end.

Here’s the late numbers, from Politico GOP campaign embed Jonathan Martin:

The breakdown:

McCain: 27
Romney: 26
Huckabee: 19
Giuliani: 6
Thompson: 5
Paul: 4

The poll was taken Wednesday through Sunday, so it includes McCain’s New Hampshire bounce.

Predictably, McCain is doing well among indies and Dems while Romney leads among Republicans.

Also worth noting is that McCain has a strong precedent in the state (having beaten Bush there in 2000) and Martin reports that Huckabee may be quietly and effectively weaving his folksy spell on Michigan’s evangelical voters, often thought to be part of the Romney base.

For what its worth, Romney claims he will continue, even if it means a third silver medal—or worse.

RSS icon Comments

1

Mitt needs to fuck off or fuck off.

Posted by Mr. Poe | January 14, 2008 3:57 PM
2

Oh, please, let him pull it off. No one on that side is more beatable, except perhaps Giuliani, and he's toast.

Posted by tsm | January 14, 2008 3:59 PM
3

Lock Romney in a room with Guiliani and his ex-wives.

Posted by Karlheinz Arschbomber | January 14, 2008 4:02 PM
4

what, no mention of the democrats for romney movement?

for those who don't know about it, it's basically a way to let romney win in order to put mccain down and keep romney alive to keep attacking mccain and huckabee. mccain is probably the hardest republican for the democrats to beat in november. hopefully if romney gets a boost, it will keep the chaotic clusterfuck going for another month.

Posted by ghostlawns | January 14, 2008 4:03 PM
5

In related news, the economy is the most important issue for both Dems and GOP nationwide, and it's going in the wrong direction.

Mitt should tell his sons to go enlist. And then he should start a business in Iraq and have his summer home there.

Otherwise, the problem is that Detroit is still in denial about the cold hard fact that they either change (and give us 40+ mpg trucks, SUVs, and 45+ mpg cars) ... or die.

Now.

Not in ten years.

They don't have ten years.

They don't even have five years.

(caveat - I may buy $10K of GMAC bonds this weak, but decided against buying Ford bonds at a deep deep deep discount, cause I think they still don't get it)

Posted by Will in Seattle | January 14, 2008 4:08 PM
6

@4, I admit, I don't exactly relish a democrat fighting mccain. the only democrat who beat mccain in those national polls? edwards. who doesn't really stand a chance to win the nom, imho.

Posted by arduous | January 14, 2008 4:10 PM
7

@1 No, Mitt Romney needs to fight this all the way to the convention. If he's blowing his fortune on a losing battle, number one, it's forcing the other GOPers to spend their money to counter it, rather than building themselves up for the general, and it also leaves Mitt Romney that much poorer. He's already blown $100 million to lose twice, and possibly many more times, and indeed, he will likely have to spend another $50 million of his own money to keep going. I'm tickled with the idea of Mitt Romney destroying the GOP nominee and going broke while doing it, ending up as an annoying also ran best remembered by those who read whatever book Matt Taibbi writes about this election.

Posted by Gitai | January 14, 2008 4:42 PM
8


I know it's a little obvs, but I'm hoping those teeth-gnashing evangelicals will launch some totally rad anti-Romney/Mormon ads titled: "Let's Talk About Sects."


Mega-double bonus points if they can somehow work in the line that Romney woke up "with a check and note that last night was dope!"

Posted by Original Andrew | January 14, 2008 4:55 PM
9

good point, Gitai @7. this year the GOP is pretty cash-poor, so not a bad idea.

Plus we get nice oppo clips from all their internecine attacks.

Posted by Will in Seattle | January 14, 2008 5:07 PM
10

This Mich. Clinton thing is pissing me off, Clinton will win because her acolytes in the party threatened the other candidates to get out, and she just gets to skip on her merry way with the delegates? WTF?

Posted by vooodooo84 | January 14, 2008 5:16 PM
11

@10 michigan is not assessing delegates in its' democratic primary. it's pretty much a pointless election tomorrow, hence the reason for democrats to vote for romney in the republican race.

Posted by ghostlawns | January 14, 2008 5:38 PM
12

Don't forget, Mitt totally won Wyoming.

Posted by Midwaypete | January 14, 2008 7:20 PM
13

Yeah, not only did Romney win Wyoming, he's actually IN THE LEAD right now. It's Romney 24, Huckabee 18, McCain 10.

Posted by Monty Ashley | January 14, 2008 8:28 PM
14

Romney's gonna end up McCain's VP. Bloombergs gonna jump, probably with Hagel, and hopefully will be the Perot of 08 and tip it for the Democrats--unless OF COURSE they fuck it up (since it's their's to lose)... and I'm a Democrat.

Posted by Andy Niable | January 14, 2008 10:04 PM
15

@14 No way will McCain run with Romney. McCain HATES Romney with a passion. It's been reported that all the republican candidates can't stand romney and want as little to do with him as possible. this is mostly due to the fact that romney has spent millions of his own personal fortune to buy ads attacking mccain and huckabee. the longer romney stays in the race, the more of a clusterfuck the republican race will be.

Posted by ghostlawns | January 14, 2008 11:26 PM
16

once Murka gets a look at the doddering old man McCain's become (& the photo of him submissively hugging President Sociopath) @ 17, a 48 year old Obama will look like a genius move.

My dad's 70 - he's got more marbles left than McCain.

Posted by max solomon | January 15, 2008 9:09 AM
17

O.k. People enough with the Democrats can lose to McCain scare tactics.
O.k. we heard all the great stuff about the guy.
But what is it you think we can do if he does win. are you going to hide?
What arguments can we raise that make him beatable?
what can we do too pull and change dem voters for McCain and the republican centrist to go to our side?
what is it out there that we can prove that McCain is noit the guy to be the president?
Get ready and start researching now, because pretty soon your going to scrambling for voter appeal to all the Dems you put down?
Fuck Mcain and he is a war mongerer like is not going to cut it either, but it would helpinstead of saying he is unbeatable.
And get your head out 2004s ass already.
Move on and start weighing the arguments we got about McCain for president vs. Dems so we can see where to go already in helping the chosen Democratic leader.
Screw McCain. four more years of the Pentagon running the white house is not my cup of tea.

Posted by Earth to democrats | January 15, 2008 1:34 PM

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