2008 It’s the Delegates, Stupid
posted by January 19 at 20:46 PMon
So apparently Obama hasn’t exactly conceded to Clinton in Nevada. Why? Because… well… despite Clinton’s commanding 6 point margin in the popular vote, the process of apportioning delegates was weighted by the Nevada Democratic Party to favor rural areas over populous Clark County. Obama came in slightly ahead outside of Las Vegas, so he technically won more delegates.
Nevada was the first western state in competition in the presidential nominating contests. Clinton won the popular vote, but Barack Obama won in the national convention delegates at stake, taking 13 to her 12.
“Obviously, this is about delegates,” Clinton said, speaking to reporters before flying to St. Louis, Mo., “but it’s also about what people are voting for and who they think the best president will be.”
Nice spin, HRC. In pledged delegates, Obama has pulled 2 ahead of Clinton, 38 to 36. But it’s also about superdelegates, and Clinton still leads there, 167 to 110. Here’s the most readable graph I can find to explain all of this.
UPDATE: OK, I know this whole thing is confusing, and Josh just texted me to dispute my count. Technically these delegates aren’t yet pledged, as the Nevada Democratic Party points out. But at the same time, not-yet-pledged (and I would guess, not-yet-selected) delegates aren’t supposed to up and change their minds for no reason—they’re much more stable than those fickle superdelegates, because they’re representing the views of actual voters. Via TPM:
Meanwhile, the Nevada Dem party releases this statement:
“Today, two out of three Nevadans who caucused chose a Democrat instead of a Republican for president. That is an overwhelming majority vote for a new direction. Just like in Iowa, what was awarded today were delegates to the county convention. No national convention delegates were awarded. The calculations of national convention delegates being circulated are based upon an assumption that delegate preferences will remain the same between now and April 2008. We look forward to our county and state conventions where we will choose the delegates for the nominee that Nevadans support.”
Late Update: The Nevada Dem party releases this clarification:
“No national convention delegates were awarded. That said, if the delegate preferences remain unchanged between now and April 2008, the calculations of national convention delegates being circulated by the Associated Press are correct. We look forward to our county and state conventions where we will choose the delegates for the nominee that Nevadans support.”