Additional post hoc analysis here:
http://www.dailykos.com/comments/2008/1/2/231613/1449/167#c167

2: That's true, but that was the Iowa number announced at the end of the night, different bargaining rules notwithstanding.

Translation: Aside from having zero charisma or supporters, Dodd is the ideal candidate!

http://blogs.thestate.com/bradwarthensblog/2007/08/why-i-see-john-.html

No, that's not right at all. Clinton picked up a delegate with 9.8% of the vote (5 votes out of 51 caucusers). The way the calculations are done in Washington is that each candidate's percentage of the total is multiplied by the number of available delegates (in our case, we chose beforehand to give our "precinct" 7 delegates). Each candidate then gets delegates based on the integer portion of the resulting value. After that, additional delegates are doled out in descending order of the decimal portions.

Last night, the final vote counts and raw delegate counts were Obama 17 / 2.333, Edwards 16 / 2.196, Dodd 13 / 1.784, Clinton 5 / 0.686. Based on integers, that's 2-2-1 for O-E-D. There are two more delegates to be assigned. With the largest decimal portion (.784), Dodd gets one, followed by Clinton with the second largest (.686). At that point, we're out of available delegates, so the final distribution is 2-2-2-1, O-E-D-C.

So that's the point where you want to convince at least one Kucinich/Biden/whomever to come over to Obama, right?

I guess I'll bring a calculator to my precinct caucus!

When I announced the Iowa-equivalent results, it was with the announced proviso (which I believe Goldy repeated) that the corresponding Iowa-equivalent bargaining had not occurred.

What anybody heard over the drunken din in the den is another matter.

An Iowa first tally would have yielded 4 delegates for Edwards, 3 for Obama, with (as I also announced) over 30% of attendees left in nonviable factions ... enough to form two entire viable factions, or to thoroughly fuck up the first tally results in a number of other creative and interesting ways.

In Washington, all caucus fatalities, escapees, and surviving members of nonviable factions are removed from the denominator before allocating delegates. The total count of all viable factions is used as teh allocation denominator.

[Note: W do not endorse anyone killing any caucus participants -- even Biden supporters.]

If our virtual precinct had used a 15% threshold under Washington rules (as applies at later-stage caucus proceedings), the result would have been Dodd 2, Edwards 2, Obama 3.