2008 Can We Now Officially Ban the Word “Narrative,” Please?
posted by January 27 at 11:54 AMon
With all the talk of the black vote going for Obama, it should be noted (and it was to me by Annie, promptly) that Obama got twice as much of the white vote in S.C. as he was projected to get. He got about a quarter of it.
Here’s two other things to note:
Among young white voters in South Carolina (not a huge percentage of the vote, but they will be one day) Obama got 52%! Talk about the New South. Right on.
This, and another supposed anomaly—Obama’s heavy support among white voters in the outlying precincts in Nevada (63-31 in Elko County! 50 to 41 in Washoe County)—upends any notion that Obama is “the black candidate” —or “Jesse Jackson”—as Bill Clinton idiotically put it.
A thorough look at the demographic breakdown in all the races so far notes these complicating factors among many others (including the difference between richer white voters and poorer white voters and the difference between Hispanic turnout and black turnout).
It’s a must read for anyone who’s trying to come up with a neat narrative for this election. Because, it turns out, the data says there isn’t one.
My suggestion right now, let’s ban the word “narrative.” Please.