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Wednesday, November 14, 2007

“You’ve got a problem on your hands.”

posted by on November 14 at 8:51 AM

Super weird report over at Seattle Weekly.

After 4204 pulled ahead yesterday, this is what they wrote:

Simple Majority Losing Ground

Posted yesterday at 4:54 pm by Laura Onstot

After coming within 2,000 votes in the morning tally, the Simple Majority for Schools folks are down this afternoon by 6,532. There are still votes coming in, but when a measure passes in five of 39 counties, outstanding ballots isn’t necessarily a good thing. Measure 4204 picked up 58.5 percent of the vote in King County, where 402,801 people cast a ballot. 156,994 people in Pierce County turned out on the measure and it there by more than 52 percent. Throw in a couple more high population county losses and you’ve got a problem on your hands.

We’ll check in tomorrow.

Topics: Schools

Permalink | Comments (1)

A commenter—they actually had one about 5 hours later—set them straight:


Can you do Simple Arithmetic?

Every other news outlet has been able to figure out that Simple Majority is LEADING in the polls, and the trend is positive. There aren’t any more “high population county losses” left uncounted.


No wonder nobody reads this blog.

Posted yesterday at 9:55 pm by I Can Count

RSS icon Comments


I don't read their blog.

Posted by Greg | November 14, 2007 8:53 AM

I think you should stop picking on the Weekly. They are doing the best they can with what they've got.

Posted by Perfect Voter | November 14, 2007 8:55 AM

I think the Stranger should dedicate an entire [printed] page to picking on the SEAT.

Posted by Mr. Poe | November 14, 2007 8:58 AM

2. I didn't know their fact checkers were mentally retarded and illiterate.

Posted by Gomez | November 14, 2007 9:05 AM

They have fact checkers?

I'd need some proof of that, please.

Posted by michael strangeways | November 14, 2007 9:24 AM

Speaking of fact checking.

Remember those great ads and mailers that Grossman did for Della per the Stranger - is the Stranger going to do a post vote analysis of the effectiveness of the various campaigns?

Posted by whatever | November 14, 2007 10:00 AM

Well, Whatever, I imagine the Stranger's powerful endorsement, No Della/Yes Burgess, carried the day.

Posted by Josh Feit | November 14, 2007 10:05 AM

They outsource their election math to NYC - home of the outsourced questions Sen Clinton and the outsourced sex Mayor Guiliani.

Give em a break.

Posted by Will in Seattle | November 14, 2007 10:14 AM

Josh then what happened in the Venus race? Seriously why not do a little post election analysis? What won for people, Stranger endorsements aside?

Posted by whatever | November 14, 2007 2:38 PM

Hello, Pot?

New Burner-Reichert Numbers
Posted by Eli Sanders on November 13 at 6:35 PM

Today's count shows Burner improving her position losing ground in King County, where she is now only nine votes behind Reichert.

However, Further, Reichert is still picking up a much larger percentage of the vote in Pierce County, where he now has a 4,718-vote lead.

Which brings us to the overall totals: Reichert now leads by a total of 4,727 votes (that's a bigger overall lead than he had on Saturday), and he currently has 51.14 percent of the total vote to Burner's 48.86 percent.

Burner's supporters have long expected her to start gaining ground in King County. Today's returns do seem to be trending in her direction, and there are many more ballots left to be counted in King County (far more than there are left to be counted in Pierce County).

Still, But she doesn't appear to be gaining ground, and now Burner's going to have to pick up at least 4,728 more votes than Reichert over the next few counts in order to beat him. Is it doable?

Well, as a thought experiment, let's say there are 100,000 ballots remaining to be counted in King County and zero ballots remaining in Pierce County (this is a best, best, best case scenario for Burner). She'd have to win 54.73 percent of the remaining ballots to win the race.

And, so far, I don't remember seeing Burner come in at over 50 percent in any of the King County tallies (although as of this evening, in King County, she now has 49.9974 percent to Reichert's 50.0026 percent).

Those blue bags of ballots are going to have to be very blue for Burner to pull this out.

UPDATE: I'm an idiot (or a "fucking idiot" depending on whom you ask). See the comments for further details. In my defense, I'll just say that watching vote counts come in over a six-day period is not the most thrilling part of my job. Believe me, no one wishes this race was over more than I do.

Posted by JAB | November 14, 2007 4:02 PM


Are you seriously asking: "What happened in the Venus race?"

Posted by Josh Feit | November 14, 2007 7:15 PM

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