2008 Polling Washington
posted by October 1 at 9:55 AMon
There haven’t been many polls of Washington State on the presidential race because our caucuses come so late, but here’s an interesting one: Two days ago Survey USA asked people in this state about all the head-to-head combinations you get using Obama, Clinton, and Edwards on one side, and Giuliani, Thompson, and Romney on the other side.
Who does best against all comers in this state? Obama, it seems. He beats Giuliani by 11 points, Thompson by 14 points, and Romney by 22 points. And, he gets more support from Democrats than any other Democratic candidate in all those match-ups.
The only head-to-head where Washington possibly goes to a Republican, according to this poll? Clinton v. Giuliani (47-47) and Edwards v. Giuliani (45-44).
But, worth noting… This type of poll has been done in the last few days in four states: Washington, Oregon, California, and New York. The results in Washington were somewhat anomalous. This is the only state in which Obama seems to do the best against all comers. In Oregon, Obama and Clinton do about the same against all the Republican contenders, and in New York and California (states with far more electoral votes) Clinton does much, much better than either Edwards or Obama.
What does this tell us? What was already suspected. Voters in this state are very excited about Obama, but elsewhere in the country it’s Clinton who is better positioned to win.