Not a Tom guy but what he said was that he would have more appeal in the 8th NOT on the eastside or in the 48th. Go look at the map of the 8th and you will see that it is not just the eastside but a bunch of rural KC and Pierce County. And that's basically where DB lost. DB doesn't seem to have anything but money and maybe the prospect of being the first MSFT rep. Everyone should read her site. Hopefully more candidates will enter the fray.
Was that tipster Sandeep a former colleague?
Down ballot races get fewer votes?
UPDATE: No shit, Eli. For Christ's sake.
Whatever @ 1 has it right. Burner's problem wasn't in districts like the 48th, it was in places like the 31st (the mentioned rural south King/north Pierce area), where Reichert beat her by margins that made the difference overall. That's why I thought Chris Hurst (31st Rep) would have been a much better candidate.
Burner's lack of public experience could, if things in Iraq remain the same, be an even greater hindrance than in '06. Why? Burner ran on a 'vote for change' platform, but given the public's dissatisfaction with the Democrats in Congress at the moment (their approval numbers are lower than Bush's), the voters may not see how putting in Burner will change anything. Without that, it could come down to the experience question.
The Democrat who can beat Reichert will be the one that can make inroads in rural, conservative east Pierce King County. It is indicative of how the political landscape has changed when the affluent citizens of Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland, and Mercer Island are voting Democratic while the more hardscrabble communities east of Tacoma think the Republican party is looking out for them. But we've all read "What's the Matter with Kansas."
Rep. Zack Hudgins (D-11th) would be the perfect candidate for the 8th, but alas, he lives in the 9th.
Move Hudgins :D
JW's point about Burner makes a lot of sense. She ran an anti-Bush, I'm pro military and I work hard campaign. Last campaign is had few if any specifics. We will be on our way out of Iraq and the big concern will a president that will keep us out.
The national Dems will be most interested in keeping their current seats not getting new ones. Of course, they would like more seats but the money will lean to the presidency and existing seat holders.
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