News Black male homicide rate is gradually dropping.
posted by December 14 at 15:09 PM
onBut you wouldn’t know from reading most daily papers. An LA Times crime reporter dishes some good sense on the numbers in Salon.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began keeping statistics for blacks as a separate group only in 1950. The agency’s count shows that homicide death rates for black men then were 28 percent higher than in 2003 and 12 times the white male rate. Spikes in these rates came in the early 1970s, around 1980, and again in the recession years of the early 1990s. Each spike was roughly as high as the last. But running through these spikes is a gradual long-term trend of lower rates and racial convergence.This suggests we need to take another look at the widespread assumptions that urban violence is the byproduct of modern street gangs, single-parent black families, crack cocaine and the proliferation of handguns. These things matter. But so do deeper and more enduring factors. The reality is that blacks in 1976 were almost twice as likely to die from homicide as blacks in 2004, and the disparity between black and white rates was 20 percent higher than today.
Comments
I blame Oprah.
Also read Freakonomics for an interesting take on the various factors behind the decrease in violent crime, among which includes abortion rights.
As I recall, the Freakonomics argument focuses on the downswing in violent crime that began in the 1990s, whereas the Salon article is pointing to a downtrend of much longer duration.
Comments Closed
In order to combat spam, we are no longer accepting comments on this post (or any post more than 14 days old).