Chris Bowers over at MyDD has just posted his forecast for the House elections this fall (a forecast whose thoroughness, he says, “easily surpasses anything publicly available anywhere in the nation”) and he’s predicting a Democratic takeover of the House of Representatives.

Note to local political nerds: Those who were interested in MyDD’s critique of a recent TV ad put out by eastside Democrat Darcy Burner will also be interested to hear that MyDD is now calling Burner’s race a “toss up.” (“Should be ripe, but poor first ad and poll,” says Bowers.)

Bowers’ overall summary:

I currently project Democrats to take 15-25 seats, which would give them a narrow majority of between 218-228 seats. I am a little worried that in the final decisions I was too optimistic by a tier in a few races (FL-16, ID-01, IL-06, NY-24, OH-01, OH-02, PA-07, PA-08, TX-17 and WA-08) and too pessimistic by a tier in others (FL-13, IN-02, NY-20 and WV-01). Overall I think it is a very good forecast even if, perhaps, very slightly too optimistic.

Via Kos.