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Friday, April 21, 2006

McGavick: Negative Cash Flow

Posted by on April 21 at 15:35 PM

Last week, I praised Mike McGavick for tapping local GOPers to run his senate campaign, while I bitched out Maria Cantwell for doing the opposite—relying on D.C. staffers and consultants to run her shop.

I followed up that report with the latest polling numbers, showing that McGavick had climbed from 13 points behind Cantwell to eight points behind.

However, turnabout is fair play: So, let me ding the McGavick campaign for a second here. It took a costly round of TV ads for McGavick to chip away at Cantwell’s lead—a super expensive strategy. To wit: Earlier this week both candidates filed their most recent quarterly campaign finance reports. McGavick boasted he raised a stunning $1.2million in the last quarter. Here’s the problem, though. He spent all of it—and more.

According to his previous report—filed last December—McGavick had $955K cash on-hand. According to the new report, he’s got $896K on hand. That means, despite raising $1.2m, he’s got $59K less than he had four months ago. In other words, he’s spending it faster than he’s raising it. That’s a sucky place to be this far out from election day.

In comparison: Cantwell raised $1.82 million this quarter ($600K more than McGavick); and, unlike McGavick, she has more cash on hand than she did going into the quarter: $5.67m Vs. $5.58m.


CommentsRSS icon

that's the GOP for you, always spend spend spend borrow borrow borrow - never could do a balanced budget, could they?

Will, WTF do you know about campaign finance? McGavick's war chest may not be huge--but it's enough to make a dent, for now...

It's also WHERE and FROM WHO he's getting his money that's key (I know kind of a "Kah-Boom-Er" moment for you here Josh).

Cantwell's getting almost 60% from out of state (according to OpenSecrets.org) and her top contributors are Lawyers & Lobbyists.

Ouch-kind of hard to call your opponent "Lobbyist Mike" when you're the one on the take from K street and the "special interests".

Patrick is spinning so hard he could do laundry.

McGavick might want to check out Matt Brown's campaign in Rhode Island. He also gambled big-time on heavy first quarter advertising to boost his primary poll numbers... and it worked too. The most recent round of polls showed him pulling even with his primary opponent.

Unfortunately, it also left him with just 35K in the bank for the primary. A couple weeks later, he laid off most of his staff.

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